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因果科学及其工业界落地.pdf

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1、因果科学及其工业界落地DataFunSummitDataFunSummit#20232023秦旋-快手-增长算法工程师ContentsWhy CausalData Flow Specification for Causal Inference ImplementationModel SelectionEvaluation and simulationOptimal Problems with Limited ResourcesWHY CAUSAL?What is correlation?WHY CAUSAL?What is correlation?An example:WHY CAUSAL?W

2、hat is correlation?An example:there is a statistical association between the number of people who drowned by falling into a pool and the number of films Nicolas Cage appeared in in a given year.However,there is obviously no causal relationship.WHY CAUSAL?What is correlation?Another example:We observ

3、ed students who wear glasses have better gradesWHY CAUSAL?What is correlation?Another example:We observed students who wear glasses have better gradesWHY CAUSAL?What is correlation?Another example:We observed students who wear glasses have better gradesWHY CAUSAL?What is correlation?Another example:

4、We observed students who wear glasses have better gradesRisk FactorComponent CausesEffectOutcomeWearingGlassesSpent more time for studyBetter preparationBetter gradesWHY CAUSAL?Issues while applying Correlation Methods in finding causal effect WHY CAUSAL?Issues while applying Correlation Methods in

5、finding causal effect WhereW:Study DurationX:If Wear GlassesY:GradeWHY CAUSAL?Issues while applying Correlation Methods in finding causal effect WhereW:Study DurationX:If Wear GlassesY:GradeWHY CAUSAL?Issues while applying Correlation Methods in finding causal effect WhereW:Study DurationX:If Wear G

6、lassesY:Grade _1WHY CAUSAL?How Causal tools help us?WHY CAUSAL?How Causal tools help us?WHY CAUSAL?How Causal tools help us?WHY CAUSAL?How Causal tools help us?WHY CAUSAL?How Causal tools help us?Back to glasses case:=0WHY CAUSAL?How Causal tools help us?WHY CAUSAL?Data Flow for implementation of Ca

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本文主要探讨了因果科学及其在工业界的应用,以快手增长算法工程师秦旋的演讲内容为例。因果推断的数据流规范、模型选择、评估与模拟、最优问题及其在有限资源下的解决方法是文章的核心内容。文章指出,相关性并不等同于因果关系,因果工具帮助我们解决因果推断问题。在实际应用中,如何设计实验、如何正确使用特征、在线随机对照试验(RCT)以及因果森林等工具是关键。同时,文章也提到了一些评估和模拟的方法,如成本-收益曲线比较、性能分析等。最后,文章讨论了在有限预算下的最优问题解决方案。
"因果科学如何应用于工业界?" "Causal Inference在实际应用中遇到哪些挑战?" "如何使用因果工具评估和优化工业策略?"
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