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在美国经济中衡量人工智能产生的概念和挑战.pdf

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1、IMF IMF|Statistics1Concepts and Challenges of Measuring Production of Artificial Intelligence in the US EconomyNOVEMBER 21,2024Tina Highfill(Dave Wasshausen,Greg Prunchak)National Economic Accounts/Senior Research Economist/US Bureau of Economic Analysis IMF IMF|Statistics2OutlineOutlineConcepts and

2、 challenges of measuring AI production How production of AI software is currently reflected in the Supply and Use Tables(SUTs)Possibilities for measuring AI production using a thematic satellite account frameworkIMF IMF|Statistics3Why Measure Production of AI?Why Measure Production of AI?Current AI

3、research mostly focuses on uses of AI“Augmented Intelligence:The Effects of AI on Productivity and Work Practices”(Raymond,Brynjolfsson,and Li 2024)IMF IMF|Statistics4Why Measure Production of AI?Why Measure Production of AI?Current AI research mostly focuses on uses of AIUS federal government actio

4、ns to encourage domestic AI manufacturing and research 2022 CHIPS and Science Act(CHIPS=“Creating Helpful Incentives to Produce Semiconductors”)2023 Executive Order on the Safe,Secure,and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence“U.S.companies lead the world in driving AI forward,do

5、minating the design of AI chips and the development of Large Language Models.But we dont manufacture or package any of the leading-edge AI chips needed to fuel the innovation ecosystem and power our most critical defense systems.We need more talent development,R&D,and manufacturing to take place in

6、America.”Gina Raimondo,US Secretary of Commerce(February 2024)IMF IMF|Statistics5Production of AI Software in Production of AI Software in the Supply and Use Tables the Supply and Use Tables IMF IMF|Statistics6Production of ForProduction of For-sale AI Software in the SUTs sale AI Software in the SU

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本文探讨了美国经济中人工智能生产的测量概念和挑战。文章首先提出了一个问题:为什么我们要测量人工智能生产?并指出当前的人工智能研究主要集中在AI的使用上。然后,文章介绍了美国联邦政府为鼓励国内AI制造和研究所采取的行动,例如2022年的《芯片和科学法案》以及2023年的关于人工智能安全和可信赖发展的行政命令。文章接着通过一个简化示例,说明了AI软件生产在供应链和使用表(SUTs)中的反映方式。之后,文章讨论了使用主题卫星账户框架来测量AI生产的可能性。在定义AI生产时,文章列举了一些例子,包括美国人口普查局、国家标准与技术研究院、经济合作与发展组织以及美国专利和商标办公室的定义。最后,文章探讨了可用于测量AI生产的数据来源,并指出AI生产目前隐藏在SUTs中,存在诸多测量挑战,如定义和范围不清,数据来源有限等。
"AI生产测量面临的挑战有哪些?" "为什么需要测量AI生产?" "如何定义人工智能生产?"
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