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安永Petr-Mobility sector dynamics.pdf

上传人: 张** 编号:155225 2024-02-15 9页 4.74MB

1、Strana 1Mobility sector dynamicsWhat can we see as the major aspects trends in the(not only EU)automotive&mobility sector?29 November 20233The EU automotive industry is a critical part of its economy(7%GDP)with 213 plants.EU-Chinatrading relationships form one of the strongest links to vital global

2、trade.Mobility sector dynamics4Global trends:Automotive is rapidly changing which leads to disruption of value chains.Externalfactors and compeition forces OEMs to reevaluate business models.Suppliers are changingalong.Europe is faced with most challenges&huge legacy.Key long-term trends influencing

3、 the sector that is being hit by the economic uncertainty and slow-downTalent shortgageOnline&omnichannel retailEfficiency&flexibility in production&supply chainsIncreasing competitionCustomer-focused approach/Agency&D2C ModelsProduct Innovation:X-EV,Digitalisation(SdV),ADAS-ADSustainability/Tougher

4、 regulation in ESG and safetyGeopolitics adding fragility to complexsupply chainsMobility sector dynamics5EY forecast of global vehicle sales by fuel type,20202050 It is expected that by 2032,EV sales will surpass all other fuel types It is expected that the sale of cars with fuel other than purely

5、electric will decrease to less than 16%of respondents planning to buy a carEV buying intentFully electric/plug-in hybrid/hybridPlug-in hybridHybridFully electric30.0%40.7%51.6%55.1%7.0%11.9%20.2%20.4%7.0%9.6%10.0%12.2%16.0%19.2%21.3%22.6%2020202120222023Globally,EVs are becoming a standard product.I

6、n 2028-29 should BEV prevail on the EU market.We expect ICEs will practically disappear from new car offerings by 2040.55%of total global vehicle sales by 2030 will be battery EVs and PHEVs.Currently,already 14/20 best selling EV models are ChineseEY Mobility Lens Suite EV,2023 Transition Insights*R

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本文概述了全球及欧盟汽车与移动性行业的动态变化。欧盟汽车产业是该区经济的重要部分,占GDP的7%,拥有213个工厂,与中国的贸易关系尤为紧密。全球趋势下,汽车行业的快速变革导致价值链的颠覆,外部因素和竞争压力迫使原始设备制造商(OEMs)重新评估商业模式,供应商也在适应变化。面临经济不确定性及放缓趋势,欧洲尤其是挑战重重。长期趋势包括人才短缺、在线及全渠道零售、生产与供应链的效率和灵活性、竞争加剧、以客户为中心的方法/代理和直接面向消费者(D2C)模式、产品创新(X-EV、数字化(SdV)、高级驾驶辅助系统(ADAS)-自动驾驶(ADS))、以及ESG和安全性方面的更严格监管。地缘政治增加了供应链的脆弱性。据EY预测,到2050年,全球车辆销售中70%将是电池电动车(BEV)和插电式混合动力车(PHEV)。到2032年,纯电动车销量预计将超过其他所有燃料类型。目前,中国生产的14/20最畅销电动车模型已显示出其市场力量。消费者调查显示,对BEV的积极态度逐渐增加,但仍有近30%的人持怀疑态度。此外,欧盟正努力建立更自主的区域供应链,并确保关键材料供应的稳定性和多样性。自动驾驶技术面临多重障碍,消费者接受度有限,且全球标准尚待形成。在整体移动性领域发生的巨大变革中,欧盟汽车业面临如何在变革中保持竞争力的挑战,特别是在电动出行成为新竞争战场的情况下。
"电动汽车市场前景如何?" "自动驾驶技术面临哪些挑战?" "欧盟如何保持汽车产业的竞争力?"
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