国际移民政策发展中心（ICMPD）：2026年移民展望报告：欧洲十大关键移民议题（英文版）（59页）.pdf

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1、Ten migration issues to look out for in 2026:Origins,key events and priorities for EuropeICMPDMigrationOutlook 20260311151517202325273134384545495561616977859799Table of ContentTen Migration issues to look out for in 2026IntroductionFocus regionsAfghanistanPakistanIranSyriaGazaNorth African countrie

2、sWestern,Eastern and Sub-Saharan countriesThe AmericasUkraineMigration trends in the EUDetections of irregular border crossingsAsylum applicationsBeneficiaries of temporary protectionKey migration policy trends in 2026 Impact of cuts to humanitarian aid and refugee supportThe new pact and the“hard s

3、log of implementation“Europes push for tangible results after setting a new returns frameworkAmbitious steps in skills partnerships and the role of labour migration in EU geopoliticsConclusionsSources01Ten migrationissues to look out for in 2026Photo by Marianne Bos on Unsplash03Ten migration issues

4、 to look out for in 2026Record conflict levels sustaining high displacement risksA historic peak in global conflicts continues to sustain volatile dis-placement levels and the global conflict landscape shows little pros-pect of easing in 2026.Last year,the Global Peace Index recorded 59 active state

5、-based conflicts worldwide,the highest number since World War II.Conflicts are increasingly protracted and internation-alised,driven by geopolitical fragmentation and major-power rivalry.Overall peacefulness declined again in 2025,worsening in 87 coun-tries.Historical evidence links prolonged confli

6、cts to sustained high levels of displacement.For Europe,developments in key countries of origin such as Venezuela,Syria,Afghanistan and Ukraine will once again shape migration and asylum trends.Taking Ukraine as an ex-ample,migration scenarios for 2026 range from the potential return of 1.2 to 2.1 m