模拟超级碗：实时 ML 预测 NFL（重复）.pdf

1、2024 Databricks Inc.All rights reservedRohan ShankerRohan Shanker20242024-0606-13131SIMULATING SIMULATING THE THE SUPERBOWLSUPERBOWLREALREAL-TIME ML TO TIME ML TO PREDICT THE NFLPREDICT THE NFL2024 Databricks Inc.All rights reservedDraftKings is a digital sports entertainment company,with multiple v

2、erticals,including a sportsbook.Sports Intelligence is responsible for producing sports betting content,primarily for the sportsbook.2Who We AreWho We AreWe generate the odds.2024 Databricks Inc.All rights reservedThe model must generate 300 betting markets,which must be accurate(based on financial

3、metrics,e.g.hold percentage).Incoming data to the model must be timely.Events in a game must be processed as quickly as possible.Features,such as ratings,must include all completed games.Accuracy and Pricing PerformanceProduction Grade ServiceAccuracy and Pricing PerformanceProduction Grade Service3

4、The model must have a high uptime.The model has to handle 1200 requests during the course of a single NFL game,responding with a P95 latency of 2s.Challenges To AddressChallenges To Address2024 Databricks Inc.All rights reserved4Architecture OverviewArchitecture Overview2024 Databricks Inc.All right

5、s reserved5Handling An Incoming EventHandling An Incoming Eventcategory:touchdown,description:C.McCaffrey for 21 yards,TOUCHDOWN.,end_location:alias:KC,yardline:0,result:touchdown,sequence:2,start_location:alias:KC,yardline:0,yards:212024 Databricks Inc.All rights reservedSnippet of the same play100

6、s of features for our data points100s of features for our data pointsFeature PipelinesFeature Pipelines62024 Databricks Inc.All rights reservedIndividual ML models used to predict probabilities for various events in a game.For example:Action Classifier-what action(rush,pass,punt