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  • 财务稳定委员会(FSB):当局和受监管机构对监管技术的使用:市场发展和金融稳定的影响(英文版)(76页).pdf

    技术和创新正在改变全球金融格局,为受监管机构和当局带来机遇、风险和挑战。创新的一个重要领域是应用新技术,帮助当局提高监管能力(称为“SupTech”),并由机构满足监管要求(称为“RegTech”)。SupTech和RegTech提供的机会是由近年来出现的各种因素共同创造的。其中包括数据可用性和粒度的大幅提高,以及云计算和应用程序编程接口(API)等新的基础设施,这些基础设施允许更有效地收集、存储和分析大型数据集。当局和受监管的机构都求助于这些技术,以帮助它们管理2008年金融危机后实施的日益严格的监管要求。SupTech和RegTech工具可能对金融稳定有重要好处。对于当局来说,使用SupTech可以提高监督、监视和分析能力,并生成实时风险指标,以支持前瞻性、基于判断的监督和决策。对于受监管机构而言,使用RegTech可以改善合规结果,增强风险管理能力,并对业务产生新的见解,以改进决策。对于当局和受管制的机构来说,效率和效力的提高,以及由于以前手动过程的自动化而可能提高的质量,都是一个重要的考虑因素。考虑到这些好处,SupTech成为越来越多当局的战略重点也就不足为奇了。根据对金融稳定委员会成员的调查,大多数受访者都制定了高科技、创新或数据战略,自2016年以来,此类战略的使用量大幅增长。主管部门报告的SupTech工具最常见的“用例”是在监管报告和数据管理领域。近年来,SupTech在“不当行为分析”和微观审慎监管方面的使用有所增加,而市场监督方面的使用案例则有所减少。超过一半的受访者表示,他们拥有一个正式的SupTech工具开发或测试平台。

    发布时间2021-04-29 76页 推荐指数推荐指数推荐指数推荐指数推荐指数5星级
  • 奥纬咨询(Oliver Wyman):努力维持批发银行的回报(英文版)(37页).pdf

    批发银行的回报率很高。十年来市场和IBD业务的结构变化导致了更有效的资产负债表使用和波动性捕捉,为在流感大流行中保持弹性的表现奠定了基础。我们认为,在积极的宏观和政策环境下,提高12%以上的回报率是可.

    发布时间2021-04-23 37页 推荐指数推荐指数推荐指数推荐指数推荐指数5星级
  • 气候相关金融信息披露工作组:前瞻性金融部门指标咨询报告(英文版)(24页).pdf

    Task Force onClimate-relatedFinancial DisclosuresForward-Looking FinancialSector MetricsConsultation湖人EOTCFDOctober 2020URES#page#ContentsA.Background and PurposeB.Scope and ApproachC.Forward-Looking Financial Sector Metrics41.Carbon and Emissions MetricsS2.Other Metrics53.Challenges of Forward-Looking InformationD. Metric for Consideration:Implied Temperature Rise1.Overview82. Potential Benefits93.Current Challenges13Appendix 1: Examples of Implied Temperature Rise Disclosure18Appendix 2: Examples of Climate Value-at-Risk Disclosure20Appendix3:Glossary22Appendix 4: ReferencesTask Force Miin the development ofthis consultation#page#A. Background and PurposeIn its 2019 status report,theTask Force onAs anticipated,disclosure practices and theClimate-related Financial Disclosures (Task Forceuse of disclosures by financial marketor TCFD)identified specificareas it intendedparticipantshave continued to evolvesince 2017In the context of a growing frequency of physicato explore to supportimplementation ofitsdisclosure recommendations, issued in Juneclimate-related impacts and the availability2017.One oftheareas wasrelatedtoclarifyingofnewresearch,tools,andresourcesforassessing climate-relatedrisks andelements of the Task Forces supplementalguidance which was issued at the same time asopportunities,there is increasing interest inforward-lookingclimate-related informationfinancial institutionsdisclosure practicestoinform financial decision-making.especially as they relate to metrics and targetsAdditionally,120 countries plus the European一and in consideration of market and industryUnion have announced that they are workingdevelopments,the Task Force determined thattoward achieving netzero greenhouse gas(GHG)insights gained through a public consultationemissions by 2050-an indication of potentialon current options would be useful in bettershifts in business models and capital flows thatunderstanding the evolution of metrics andthe financial sector seeks to understand.targetsreporting byassetowners,assetFromOctober29,2020.toJanuary 27,2021,managers banks,and insurance companies.the Task Force will hold a public consultatiorThe Task Forces supplemental guidance foron decision-usefulforward-looking metricsthe financialsector encouraged asset managersto be disclosed by financialinstitutions.Severaland asset owners to disclose to their clients orconsiderations for such metrics are describedbeneficiaries,respectivelythe metrics they usein Section C. Forward-Looking Financial Sectorto assess climate-related risks and opportunitiesMetrics,as context forthe consultation.as well as other metrics they believe are usefulIn particularametric that hasgainedinterestfor decision-makingin addition,the Task Forcefrom the financialsector since the Task ForceTable of Contentsrecommended asset managers andasset ownersissued its supplemental guidance-referrecdiscloseaspecific carbon footprint metric-thetoas“implied temperaturerise associatedwithAweighted average carbon intensity.Importantly.investments (ITR)-is described at a highBackground and Purposewhen the Task Force issued its supplementallevel in Section D.Metric for ConsiderationImplied Temperature Rise for consideration inguidancein 2017.itwasaware oflimitationsofcarbon footprinting and intensity metricsthe consultation.TheTask Force alsoseeks to8ScopeandApproachandviewed themasafirststepin theunderstand alternative forward-looking metricsdevelopment of metrics for disclosure bythat could be disclosed by financial institutionsfinancial sector companies.in line with the TCFD recommendationsC.Forward-LookingFinancial Sector MetricsD.Metric for Con#page#The Task FB.Scope and Approachinvestors that disclose forward-lookingdisclosure from several large institutionalclimate-related metrics to better understandinvestors.the Task Force formedaworkingavailable metrics and the potential benefits andchallenges ofdisclosure.Finally.the workinggroup to consider the benefits and challengesof disclosure of implied temperature rise andgroup developedasetofquestionsforpubldother forward-looking climate-related metrics.consultation,to ensure thatabroad range ofThe Task Forcemembers participating in theperspectives inform the Task Forces future work.working group contributed expertise from assetThe Task Force will take consultation responsesmanagement firms,pension funds,banks,andinto consideration to determine whetherfurthercreditrating agencies.TCFDfinancial sector guidance on forward-looking metrics is needed.Workinggroup members spoketoseveralmethodology providers and institutionalBox B1TCFD Public ConsultationTheTask Forces 90-day publicconsultation solicitsinputonforward-ookingclimate-related metricsforthefinancialsectorTheconsultationasks questionsabouttheusefulnessandchallengesofsuchmetricsandwhat may benecessaryto enhance their comparability.transparency,and rigorThe Task Forceencouragesthe publictorespondtothe consultationatfsb-tcfd.org between October 29,2020.andjanuary272021,Table of ContentsA.Background and PurposeB.Scope and ApproachC.Forward-LookingFinancial Sector MetricsD.Metric for Consideration:Implied Temperature RiseAppendices44.3851.31#page#C.Forward-Looking Financial Sector MetricsThrough public consultation, the Task Force aimsInvestors and other users of disclosure rely onto better understand the evolution of metricsclimate-related metrics to better understandused and disclosed by companies in the fourriskandevaluate progress toward establishedfinancial groups that wereidentified in its 2017targets and objectives.They may also usesupplemental guidance:asset owners,assetselect metrics for discussion and engagementwith portfolio companies.The absence ofmanagers,banks,andinsurancecompaniesSuch metrics may focus on carbon and otherwidelyavailable,high-qualityhistoricalclimateemissions orother financially relevant factors.related information contributes to the need forFigure C1 provides excerpts ofthe Task Forcesbetterforward-lookingapproaches.In additionguidance for asset owners on metrics used toto private sector innovation for metrics toassess climate-related issues and how theybetter understand climate-related financialconsider forward-looking information on a lower-impacts,there are increasingregulatorycarbon transition.Figure C1Excerpt of TCFD Guidance for Asset OwnersRisk ManagementDisclose how the organization identifiesassesses,and manages climate-relatedrisks.Table of ContentsRecommendedDisclosure b)Describe theSupplemental Guidance for Asset OwnersA.Assetownersshoulddescribehowthey considerthe positioningoftheirtotal portfolioBackground and Purposeorganizationswithrespectto thetransiton toalower-carbon energysupplyproductonanduseprocesses forsoooduaeuuaesuMoassemouuuedxpnupinosLmanagingclimate8related risks.ScopeandApproach1C.Metrics and TargetsForward-LookingDisclosethemetricsandtargetsusedtoassessand managerelevantclimate-relatedrisksFinancial Sector Metricsand opportunities where such information is materialRecommendedD.Disclosure a)Metric for Consideration:DisclosethemetricsImplied Temperature Riselused bytheorganizationtoSupplemental Guidance forAssetOwnersAppendicesassessclimateAsset owners should describe metrics used to assess dimate-related risks andrelated risks andopportunitiesineach fundorinvestmentstrategy.Whererelevantassetownersopportunities in lineShouldalsodescribe howthese metrics have changedovertimewith its strategy andWhereappropriate,assetownersshouldprovidemetrics consideredininvestmentriskmanagementdecisionsandmonitoringprocess.notedby-#page#The Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosuresexpectations for firms to demonstrateaforwardwith international climate agreementsandlooking understanding ofcimate-related risk.national policy goals.Forexample,in December2019,120countriesandthe European UnionItis importanttonote thatsimilartotheuse ofannounced that they areworking to achievemultipletraditional financial valuation metricsnet-zero emissions by 2050-an early indicationin mainstream financial decision-making,noof potentialfuture policyand regulatory changessingleclimate-related metric can fully describefor companies in those jurisdictionsthe position ofacompany.product.fund,orEven todays highest-emitting companies couldinvestment strategy in relation to climate.Themetrics explored in the consultation wouldtake actions to significantly alter their futurebeintendedtocomplementnotreplaceemissionstrajectories,andconsequentlytheexisting disclosures in alignment with the TCFDrelevant climate-related risks and opportunitiesrecommendations.The Task Force welcomestheyface.Many investorsand other users ofinput on all forward-looking metricsthat coulddisclosuretherefore seekto betterevaluatehelp to better inform capital allocation decisions.how carbon exposures associatedwith theirinvestments could evolve overtimeAs described in Section D.Metric for1.CARBON AND EMISSIONS METRICSConsideration: Implied Temperature Riseafewlarge financialinstitutions have started toWeightedaveragecarbonintensity andothercalculate and disclose an“implied temperaturecarbon footprinting metrics provide someriseassociated with investments.This is onevisibility into the carbon exposure of certairapproach to considering the position oftheirassetsatafixedpointintime.Althoughstillassets in relation to thetransition to a loweruseful for decision-making, past carboncarbon economy.Other financially focusedexposures provide littleinsight into potentialapproaches mayrelatetopotentialcostsfutureexposure.Thisisparticularlythecaseassociatedwith carbon emissions,such asasagrowing numberof companies areunpriced carbon cost or carbon earnings at risk14announcing planned changes to products,strategies,and future emissions targets in lineTable of ContentsA.“Emissionsareaprime driver ofrising globaltemperaturesBackground and Purposeand.assuch,areakeyfocalpointofpolicy.regulatorymarketand technology responses to limit climate change,As a result8ScopeandApproachorganizations with significantemissions are lkey to be impactedmoresignifcantly by transition riskthan otherorganizations.C.In additioncurrentorfuture constraints on emissions,eitherForward-LookingFinancial Sector Metricsdirecty by emission restrictions or indirectly through carbon budgetsmayimpact organizationsfinancialy”D.Metric for Consideration:Implied Temperature RiseApppendiices#page#The Task Force on Climate-n50% ofthe carbon footprint for companies inofjurisdictions offer safe-harbor protections formany industries.222 Many forward-lookingforward-looking disclosures made in good faithcarbon and emissions metrics rely on pastusingthe best information reasonablyavailableGHGemissions data to estimatefuturetrendsatthetime.2and,thereforea lack ofhistorical data canComplexity of Calculation.Until otherexacerbate uncertainty in future assumptions.challengesareaddressed there maybealargeConversely when including all scopes of GHGresource burden associatedwith calculatinganddisclosing forward-lookingmetrics,whichcompanies across a portfolio,investors andoften require theassistance ofoneor moreothers must often take precautions to avoidexternal data and methodology providerscould overstate potentialclimate-related risk.2Suitability for Public Disclosure. Financialsector organizationsmay use several forward-Lack of Transparency and Comparability.lookingmetricsinvariousstatesofmaturityMany forward-looking methodologies are newas inputs to capital allocation decisionsandevolving,andthereis littletransparencyHoweverwhile useful internallythosefrom methodology providers on how theymetrics may be considered proprietary oare calculated or compare to each other.may not meet an organizations qualityWhere methodologies are publicly describedstandard for public disclosuredifferences across data providers can stillmake resulting disclosures difficult to compareSimilar challenges arerelevant to forward-forinvestors and others evaluating climatelookingclimateassessmentsoutsideofmetrics,exposure across their holdings.Forforward.However.the disclosures resulting from thoselooking metrics to be more useful in financialassessments can still be useful.Forexample,indecision-making,disclosure must be based onits recommended disclosure Strategy c) the Tasktransparentand comparablemethodologiesForce recommends that organizations describetheresilience oftheir strategy.taking intoReliance on Assumptions and Futureconsideration different climate-related scenariosUncertainty.Calculationsofforward-lookingincluding a 2C or lower scenario.Climate-relatecmetricsarecomplex andrequiremanyTable of Contentsscenario analysis has become more widely usedmethodological choices and assumptions.androbust since the Task Force released itsSome assumptions attempt to compensateA.recommendations in 2017.na2019 TCFD surveyfor existing data gaps,such as past emissionsBackground and Purposeon effective disclosure aligned with the TCFDtrends or comparable and reliable companyrecommendations,aselect group ofexpertspecific targets.Other assumptions rely onusers most often rated disclosure aligned with8StrategycVeryUseful.2ScopeandApproachmodels,the details ofwhich can varywidelyGreateravailabilityofhigh-qualityemissionsparticular uncertainty around future climateC.data,futureclimate-relatedtargets andrelated policy can contributetogreaterForward-Lookingstrategies,and convergence ar#page#The TaskD. Metric for ConsiderationImplied Temperature RiseA newclimate-related metric that severaldegree rating,ITR incorporates current GHGinstitutionalinvestors have begun to use andemissions orother data andassumptions todiscloseis impliedtemperaturerise(ITR).27estimate expectedfuture emissions associatedmplied temperaturerise metrics aim to providewiththeselectedentities.Then,theestimateaforward-looking view ofcarbon exposure thatistranslated intoa projected increase incan be applied to a wide range of industriesglobal average temperature(in C)abovepreindustrial levels that would occurifallcompanies,andasset panies in corresponding sectors had then its consultation,theTask Force seeks broadsame carbon intensity as the selected asset(s)input onwhetherand how,ITR disclosure wouldbe useful in financial decision-makingIt alscTheITRmetric is expressedinasingletemperatureunit orrange thatis comparableseeks input on which types oforganizationsmight disclose ITR.which types ofinvestmentstowidely understood potentialclimateoutcomes(eg,1.5,2C,3.5).Asan ITR disclosure could address,as well as itslimitations,potentialchallenges,and what mightsummarized in Appendix 1:Examples ofbe needed to improve its usefulness.Implied Temperature Rise Disclosure,a fewlarge asset owners and asset managerscurrently disclose the implied temperaturerise oftheir portfolios.The extent to which ITR1.OVERVIEWisforward-looking dependson whetherthecalculation methodology usesonly historicalAn implied temperature rise metric attempts toemissions data orifitalsotakes projectedestimate a global temperature rise associatedGHGemissions into account.An example ofwith the greenhouse gas emissions ofasingledisclosure on implied temperature rise overTable of Contentsentity(e.g.,acompany)oraselectionofentitiestwoyears is provided in Figure D1.(egthoseinagiveninvestmentportfolio,fundorinvestment strategy).ExpressedasanumericA.Background and Purpose8Figure D1ScopeandApproachExample of Implied Temperature Rise DisclosureC.Forward-Looking5.0Financial Sector Metrics4.0C4.0gPotential口.3.0C3.0Metric for Consideration:3.02.80Implied Temperature Rise2.0Appendices1.AXADivestedAXAAggregateBenchmarhAXASODebtCoalAssets2019#page#While ITR can be used as an impact metricDisclosure by different types oforganizationsor communication and engagement toolitswithin thefinancialsector may align withdisclosure could also provide insight on climatedifferent user needs as follows:related risks and opportunities associated withDisclosure by AssetOwners.whetherselect assets to better inform capitalallocationasset owners invest directly or through assetdecisions.In alignmentwith the Task Forcesmanagers.theybeartheoutcomesofclimatesupplemental guidance,a fewasset owners thatrelatedtransitionand physicalrisks towhichcurrently consider ITR in investment decisionstheirinvestmentsareexposed.Similarlyassetand monitoringor“the positioning oftheirowners can benefitfromthe potentialreturnstotal portfoliowithrespect to thetransitionon the investment opportunities associatedto a lowercarbon energy supply productionwithalow-carbontransition.Climate-relatedand use.including how they“actively managedisclosure by asset owners allows beneficiariestheir portfolios positioning in relation to thisandotheraudiences toassesstheassettransitionhave begunto disclose ITR.28.29owners investment strategies andapproachesHowever.theITRmetricisnewandstilevolvingtomanaging their portfolios,There are several technical and methodologicalchallenges related to calculating ITR.noITR disclosure could help asset ownersbeneficiaries make a forward-lookingcommonly agreed terminology to refer to themetricand little understanding ofadvancementsassessmentofan assetowner portfoliosthat would be needed to improvethe usefulnessexposuretoclimate-related risks,theirOfITR disclosuresability to capitalize on opportunities in thelow-carbon transition overtime,and overallinvestmentstrategy.Moreoverassetownerssitatthetopoftheinvestment chainand2.POTENTIALBENEFITSthereforetheir disclosure ofITR may encouragebetter forward-looking disclosure across theBasedon inputfrom severalinstitutionalinvestorsinvestment chain,fromotherasset owners,hat use and disclose implied temperaturerise,asasset managers,and underlying companieswell as data and methodology providers,the TaskTable of ContentsAn example ofan assetowners perspectiveForce understands that ITR disclosure has theon its ITR disclosure is described in Figurepotential to be usefulinseveralways.Appendix 1A1-1(p.13)in Appendix 1:Examples oflmpliedA.Examples of Implied Temperature Rise DisclosureTemperature Rise DisclosureBackground and Purposedescribes perspectives on theITRmetric from anasset ownerandtwoinsurance companies thatDisclosure by Asset Managers.Assetdisclose ITR metrics8ScopeandApproachassets withinaportfolio,bearthe potentialProponents ofITR disclosure note that it couldtransition and physicalrisks to which theirrepresenta proxy forclimate-related transitioninvestments are exposed.Similarly.theyrisks or opportunities associatedwith aselectedC.enjoy the potentialreturns on opportunitiesForward-Lookingportfoio,fundorinvestmentstrategy Forassociated with thetransition toa low#page#The Task Force on cimate6Disclosure by Banks and InsuranceSome methodologies use company-specificCompanies. Banks and insurers serve ahistorical emissions datawhile others takeavariety ofbeneficiariesand stakeholders.“top-down” approach to allocate emissionssome ofwhom could use disclosure ofITR asbased onsectoralor geographicaldata.adirectional proxy for exposure to climate-Methodologiesvary in their use ofScope 1related risks.As such,disclosure ofITR byScope2,and/orScope3GHGemissions.Somebanks and insurers could also indicate howuse only Scope 1data,while others use Scopewell positioned theseinstitutionsare tocapture1and2,andyetotherstake Scope 1,2,and3opportunities for thetransition to a low-carbonGHG emissions into account.economy.Users of disclosure must be ableto distinguish among banks and insuranceCertain methodologiestake cumulativecompanies exposures and risk profiles tohistorical GHG emissions into account whilemakeinformed financial decisions.others incorporate point-in-timeassessmentsHowever current disclosures from banksofemissionsintensity.and insurance companies often omit keyparts ofthe business,forexample capital-Some methodologies incorporate companymarket financing for banks and underwritingspecificfutureemissionstargets,whileothersportfolios for insurers.In part this is due totakeatop-down” approachtoestimatefuturea lack of consistent ITR methodologies foremissions based on sectororgeography.0flendingandinsurance portfolios.thosethatincorporateemissionstargetstherearedifferent criteria forthetypesoftargets that can and cannot be used3.CURRENT CHALLENGES-Methodologiesmay incorporate differentclimate-relatedscenariosoremissionsWhileITRmayhave potentialto beanpathways,orevenutilizeinternal proprietaryinformative metric,itscalculation,disclosure,andfutureemissionspathways.use are currently subject to several significantchallenges.Implied temperature rise is a newly-Certain methodologiesmay be better suiteddeveloped metric and therefore methodologiesTable of Contentstoassessing certain asset classes and mayand approaches are still evolving.Furtherworkvary in whethersome asset classesare abletoand input from preparers and users of disclosurebe assessedat all.A.will likely be needed to improveits quality andBackground and Purposeavailability.In addition to challenges generallyDifferent methodologies will lead to differentapplicable to forward-looking metrics describedITRestimates that are not directly comparablein Section C.3. Challenges of Forward-Looking8Variations in methodologies may also lead toInformation,ITR disclosure is currently subjectScopeandApproachunder or overestimates ofimpliedtemperaturetothefollowingrise,andconsequentlyanexaggeratedindication ofclimate-related riskC.Variationin Approaches and Outcomes.Forward-LookingInresponsetorecentinterestin ITR.severalFinancial Sector MetricsInitiative,Arabesque,Carbon Delta,CDPMSCIScience Based Targets Initiativeand Trucost口.-are developingarange ofITR calculationMetric fo#page#The Task Force on cimateancial DisclosureCoverage Limitations.Currently.calculationofITRseems to befeasible onlyforcertaincarbon-intensive sectors(e.g.,utilitiesoiland gas,androadtransport)or specific assetClasses rather than for a fully diversifiedportfolio. For example,ofthe ITR disclosureexamples provided in Table A1-1(p.13)ofAppendix 1: Examples of Implied TemperatureRise Disclosure none specify 100% portfolioCoverage.Moreoversomeavailablemethodologies may only include a limitednumber oftechnologies and indicators, whileother important levers/indicators that areneeded to understand transitionrisks andopportunities in certain sectors may not beincluded.Assessing otherfactors,suchasthe companys business model historicalperformance,and management actions mayalso be relevant but not taken into account intodays methodologiesChallengesare to beexpectedinthedevelopment ofnewforward-looking metrics.The Task Force recognizes that multipleinitiatives,comprisedofinvestorsandothers.areworking to encourage more consistent ITRdisclosureandaddressits challenges.Table of ContentsA.Background and Purpose8ScopeandApproachC.Forward-LookingFinancial Sector Metrics口.Metric for Consideration:Implied Temperature RiseAppendiices#page#The TaskAppendix 1: Examples of ImpliedTemperature Rise DisclosureCertainfnancialinstitutions have begun to discloseimpliedtemperaturerise (TRestimatesover the past two years.including the nine organizations listed in Table A1-1.As shown in thecomparison.the estimates address various portions ofthe organizationsportfolios andwerdevelopedin collaboration with several methodology providersTableA1-1Comparison of Select ITR DisclosuresadMethodologyLocation ofDisclosed ITROrganizationCoverageEmissionsProviderDisclosureAviva2.9C(al)80%ofScope 1onlyCarbon DeltaAviv,AivaCimate-Relatedaggregate(incl.equities,FinancialDisclosurecorporate credit,sovereign2019,Metricsrealestateand Targetsinfrastructure)Summaryp.3Table of ContentsAXA3.2C(equity)95%coverageScope 1 onlyCarbon DeltaAXA,2020Cimate Report.D.19A.2.8C(corporate70%coverageBackground and Purposedebt)82.8C(sovereign 99.79coverageBeyond RatingsScopeandApproachdebtC.Uamx70%ofequityNotspecifiedTrucost2Banque deBanqueForward-LookingFranceportfoliosdeFrance,InvestingFinancial Sector MetricsInitiativeResponsibleInvestmentReport2020,D.D.18Metric for Consideration:Implied Temperature Rise2.3-4.3NotspecifedBNP ParibasNotspecifedScience-BasedBNP Paribas,Cardif2CAlignment2019 TCFD(equity)Appendices(lower bound).Report,p.41Carbon Impact2.2-3.1CNot specifiedNotspecifiedAnalytics(upper(bonds)bound)ContinuedonnextpogTableAZ-#page#The Task Force on Climatancial DisclosuresTable A1-1:ComparisonofSelectITRDisclosures(Continued)MethodologyLocation ofDisclosed ITRCoverageOrganizationEmissionsProviderDisclosureCNP28CCarbone4CNPAssurancesca78%coverageScope12and32018 CSRReportp.41.Scope 1and215nca50%-60%ofGPIF GPIFGovernmentPensionClimate Relatedeach asset classnvestmentFund(GPIF)2019,p.282.1C(equity)Not specifiedIrcantecNot specifiedICare & Consult,Ircantec,ClimateActions and ESGBeyondRatings,Carbone 4Report,p.353C(bonds)Not specifiedNot specifiedLegal& General2.9C(equity)Legal&General,NotspecifiedBaringaca43%coverageTCFD Report2019.p.123.1C(bonds)SCOR3.7-3.8Carbone485%ofportfolioNotspecifiedScor 2018Table of ContentsCimate Reportp.37A.Background and Purpose8ScopeandApproachC.Forward-LookingFinancial Sector MetricsD.Metric for Consideration:Implied Temperature RiseAppendices#page#Excerpts from an asset owners disclosure ofITRare provided in Figure A1-1.FigureA1-1Asset Owner Perspective on ITR DisclosureIn2019,theJapaneseGovernment Pension Investment Fund(GPIF)theworldslargest pensionfund,undertookand disclosedthe results ofa climate-related portfoliorisk assessmentTheresultingreportincludes avariety ofdisclosures such as carbon footprint metrics.fossilfuelandstranded asset exposuremetrics,andimplied temperaturerise metricsreferredtoas temperaturetrajectoryin thereport.GPIFworkedwiththedata providerTrucostto provideITRratingsatanaggregatelevelforallassetsundermanagementas wellas forvarious assetclasses andsectors within its portfolio.The disclosure coversaten-yearperiod(2012-2023)toshowcurrentinformationhistoricalchanges,andfutureprojections.Temperature TrajectoryforLatest PortfolioHoldingsForognEquitiosDomesticBondsForcign Bonds18FY18FY18FY18FY18FYXG3CxC2C3CPortfolloapp,2012-202360.000.003Table of Contents40.088.000A.Background and Purpose8ScopeandApproach2012201320142015201620172018F2019FC.Forward-LookingFinancial Sector Metricscurrentorfutureconstraints on GHG emissions.The disclosurelpresentedaimsto highlight leaders andlaggards atthe company levelaswell as overall portfolio performance and performance by sectorD.Metric for Consideration:HoweverGPIF also notes that current data gaps limit the usefulness ofITR in decision-making,Alack ofemissions data onsomeasset classesallows GPIF to estimate ITRonlyforabout 50%-60%oftheirassetsImplied Temperature RiseAppendices#page#Excerpts from an insurance companys disclosure of ITR are provided in Figure A1-2.Figure A1-2Insurance Company Perspective on ITR Disclosureratngsince2018 initsannualclimaterelated disclosures.AvivaSreports incudeawiderangeofmetrics forclimateValueatRisk.andweatherrelatedlossesAvivaworkedwith Carbon Delta to deriveits ITRrating forits shareholdersfunds creditequities,and realestate asaweighted average ofindividual issuers warming potential.As shown belowAviva reports its 2019ratingalongsideits2018 rating to showAvivasyearto-yearprogress,Portfolio Warming Potential/MSCICarbn DetaAvivas PortfolioTheanalysis foundthatthential ofourshareholdends equityporlolioWarming Potential2.9Table of ContentsA.Background and Purpose8ScopeandApproachted by organisC.Forward-LookingFinancial Sector MetricsAvivadescribesitsuseofITRratings asexploratory noting thatAvivais exploringtheusesofanumberD.ofdifferentemerging metrics designedto help analyse thealignment ofinvestment portfolio tothe PariMetric for Consideration:Agreementstargetoflimiting theglobaltemperature risetowell below2.HoweverwefullyanticipateImplied Temperature Risethattheseapproacheswillevolveovertimeandbeimprovedinthelightofnewresearch.dataandemerging best practice.We have fedthisanalysis into investment strategy reviews of our business.AppendicesAvivanotesthatthelevelofcoverageofitsiTRratingcontinuesto evole.Avivadisclosesthat only 80%ofshareholderfunds wereanalyzedwhich nonethelessrepresentsanincreasein coveragefrom 2018duetottheinclusion ofrealestate,sovereign bonds,andgreen assets#page#Excerpts from an insurance companys disclosure of ITR are provided in Figure A1-3.Figure A1-3Insurance Company Perspective on ITR Disclosureinformation onthetemperaturealignmentofisdirectlyownedequityandbond portoliossince2017mpactAnalytics and the Science-Based 2C Alignment.while both methodologies are largely based on theare largely due to how Carbon Impact Analytics method reflects current carbon performance of companieswithout adjusting for potentialorpromised reduction efforts.uoupeduueseogpeeusuedddemuuelssepueuesterminvestmentdecisions.Temperatures of the equity and corporate bond portfolios held by BNP Paribas CardifBond portfolioEquity portfolioScience-BasedCarbon ImpactScience-BasedCarbon ImpactAnalytics2C Alignment2C AlignmentAnalytics2.34.32.23.1Table of ContentsA.SB2A and CIA methods(source:ICare & Consult/ Mirova/ Carbone 4)Background and Purpose8ScopeandApproachC.Forward-LookingFinancial Sector MetricsD.Metric for Consideration:Implied Temperature RiseAppendices#page#The TaskAppendix 2: Examples of ClimateValue-at-Risk DisclosureValue-atRisk(VaR)measuresthesizeofthelossmodel the returns to different asset classesin different countries or regions.It is modelaportfolio may experience,withinagiven timehorizonata particular probability.Climate VaRand data-intensiveand itis unclear whetherquantifies the size oflossattributableto climatethe uncertainty inherentin providing thisrelatedfinancialrisks by comparing the value ofhigh levelof detail would provide particularlyassets inaworldwith climate change relativetoaccurate estimates.the same world without climate change.3sAtop-down approach uses a simple macro-Given that Climate VaRisarelativelynewmetriceconomicmodelthat has been integratedtherearefewavailable methodologiesandthosewithemissionsandclimate modules.Asmallthatareavailablearenotyet fully transparentonumber ofintegrated assessment models ofcomparable,Generally.estimatesofclimateVaRcimatechangeexistwhich havebeen builtincould takea bottom-up or top-down approach:ordertoestimatetheeconomic costofclimatechange.Howeverthesecanbe conservativeirA bottom-up approach would be builttheirestimatesasthey canfailto fullyaccountaroundarelatively detailed portfolio analysisforthe fullrange and deep uncertainty ofmodel which takes as its input variousclimate impacts.macroeconomicvariablesand goes on toFigureA2-1Excerpt from an Asset Managers Climate VaR DisclosureTable of ContentsForward looking metrics:Investmentstemperature and Climate Valueet RiskA.Background and Purpose20182019AxA IMEvolution8ScopeandApproach婚价停03TransitioncostVaR(1.5Cscenario)%-5.10.231TransitioncostaR2Cscenario)TransitioncostVaR(3Cscenario)%C.Forward-Looking04CostofcimateVaR(15Cscenario)Financial Sector Metrics心4.7CostofclimateVaR(2Cscenario)18皖ZD.625治TechnologyopportunityVaR(1.5cscenario)%Metric for Consideration:58TechnologyopportunityVaR2Cscenario)Implied Temperature Rise80TechnologyopportunityaR(3Cscenario%Source:AXAIM.CarbonDeltoAppendicesCostofClimateVaR(Transitionrisks PhysicalrisksVaR)representsaportfoliovaluelossofneary7%iftheworldwenttoa1.5cscenario,duetoregulation costsandextremeweatherevents losses.Itisalreadyrepresentingaportfoliovalueloss ofnearly5%ina2cscenarioandof2%inthe Paris Pledgesscenaric(3c).Intermsofnewopportunities,GreenVaRrepresentsaportfoliovaluegainofnearly3%ina1.5cscenarioandnearly2%ina2cscenario,companiesbeingallthemoreincentivsedtodevelopgreentechnologies.CLD.35#page#The Task Forceon climatAfew financialinstitutions have disclosedinclude examples of climate VaR disclosuresfrom an asset manager and an insuranceinformation on their use of climate VaRand climate VaR estimates related to theircompany.respectivelyportfolios.FigureA2-1(p.16)and FigureA2-2FigureA2-2Excerpt from an Insurance CompanysClimate VaR DisclosureAvivasclimateVaR measureClimate-relatedrisksandopportunitieshavethe potentialtoaffectinsurers balancesheets aswell asthelong-term businessmodel.Traditionalapproaches based largely on backward looking analysis may needtberefinedor enhancedtocapturetheserisks going forward.In orderto addressthis challengeAviva hasdevelopedaClimate VaR measureinconjunctionwith theUNEP Flinvestor pilot projectand Carbon Deltapotentialbusiness impacts offuture dimate-related risks and opportunities to beassessed in each oftheIPCCscenariosandinaggregate(seeAppendix formore detailsofourClimate VaRmethodology)aswellasprovidinganindicationoftheresilienceofourstrategyCalculatedonalike forlike basis theYE18 andYE19 CimateVaRsaresimilarindicating thatAvivas overallexposureto climate-relatedrisks and opportunities remains broadly unchanged.Figure 9 comparesa plausible range of outcomes(5th to 95th percentile) from our Climate VaR analysis forthedifferent scenarios considered.Consistentwith lastyearAvivaismostexposedtothebusiness-as-usual(BAU)4Cscenariowhere physicalriskdominates,negativelyimpactinglongterminvestmentreturnsonTable of Contents1.5Cand 2C scenarios are the only scenarios with potential upside.Physicalrisk impacts are more limitedbutthere isstil downside risk on longterm investment returns fromcarbon intensive sectors (for exampleA.utilities)asa result oftransition policy actions.This is offsetpartially by revenuetechnologies fromBackground and Purposesome sectors (for example automotivesWhenaggregatedtogethertoderermineanSot3/11/2019overall impact ofclimate-relatedrisks and8opportunities acrossallscenarios,theplausibleScopeandApproachrangeis dominated bytheresultsofthe3Cand4Cscenarios,refectingthatneitherexistingnorC.planned policyactionsare sufficiently ambitiousForward-Lookingto meet the1.5CParisAgreementtarget.InFinancial Sector Metricsthe 1.5Cscenariotransition riskis largerthanphysical risk(see figure 10)even aftertakingintoaccount mitigating technology opportunities.nD.the 2Cscenario,transition and physical risksareMetric for Consideration:somewhat balanced,whereasin the3Cand4Implied Temperature Risescenarios physicalriskdominates.Wewill continueto develop andincorporateAppendicesClimateVaRintoouroverallstrategyrisk0/1/201500management andreporting frameworks.Inparticular.wewill furtherrefineandimproveourClimate VaRapproach in the lightofnewresearchand data aswellas emerging bestpracticeincluding using outputfrom the UNEP FlinsuranceTCFD pilot.#page#The Task Appendix 3: GlossaryCLIMATE-RELATED OPPORTUNITY refers toGREENHOUSE GAS (GHG) EMISSIONSSCOPELEVELS38the potential positive impacts related to climatechange on acompany or organization. EffortsScope 1 refers to all direct GHG emissions,to mitigate and adapt to climate change canoroduce opportunities for companies,such asScope2refers to indirect GHG emissionsthrough resource efficiency and cost savings,thefrom consumption of purchased electricityadoption and utilization of low-emission energyheat,orsteam.sources,the development ofnew products andservices,and building resilience along the supply Scope 3 refers to other indirectemissionschain.Climate-relatedopportunitieswillvarynot coveredin Scope2thatoccurin thevaluedepending on the region marketand industrychain ofthe reporting company. including bothin which an organization operates.upstream and downstream emissions.Scope3emissionscould include:the extraction ancCLIMATE-RELATED RISKrefers to theproduction ofpurchased materials and fuelspotential negative impacts of climate changetransport-related activities in vehicles notonacompany ororganization.Physical risksowned or controlled by thereporting entity.emanating from climate change can be eventelectricity-related activities(eg,transmissiondriven(acute)such as increased severityand distribution losses)outsourced activitiesofextremeweatherevents(eg,cyclonesandwaste disposal.3droughts,floods,and fires).They can also relateto longer-term shifts (chronic) in precipitationIMPLIED TEMPERATURE RISE (ITR) refersand temperature and increased variability into anestimate ofaglobaltemperatureweatherpatterns(e.g.,sea levelrise).Climaterise associated with the greenhouse gasrelatedriskscan also beassociatedwith theemissions ofa single entity (egacompany)transition toalower-carbon global economy,theoraselectionofentities(e.g.,thoseinagivenmostcommon of which relate to policy and legalTable of Contentsinvestment portfolio,fund,orinvestmentactionstechnology changes,market responsesstrategy). Expressedas a numeric degreeand reputational considerationsrating,ITRmetrics incorporate current GHGA.emissions or other data andassumptions toBackground and PurposeCLIMATE VALUE-AT-RISK measures the sizeestimateexpected futureemissions associatedofthelossa portfoliomay experience,withinawiththeselectedentityorentities.Thenthegiven time horizon,ataparticular probability8estimateistranslatedintoaprojectedincreaseattributabletoclimate-related financialrisks.ScopeandApproachin globalaverage temperature(in C)abovepreindustriallevels thatwould occurifallGOVERNANCE refers to “the system by whichcompanies in corresponding sectors hadtheC.an organization is directed and controlledSamecarbon intensity as theselectedassetis)Forward-Lookingin theinterests ofshareholders and otherFinancial Sector Metricsstakeholders.“GovernanceinvolvesasetNET-ZERO refers to achieving an equal balanceof relationships between an organizationsbetween GHG emissions produced and GHGmanagementits b#page#SCENARIO ANALYSIS is aprocessforidentifyingSECTORrefers to a segment of companiesand assessing a potential range ofoutcomes ofperforming similar business activities inanfutureevents under conditions ofuncertainty.economy.A sector generally refers to a largeInthecase ofclimate change,for example,segment ofthe economy or grouping of businessscenarios allow an organization to explore andtypes,while “industry” is used to describe moredevelop an understanding of how the physicalspecific groupings of companies within a sectorand transition risks ofclimate change mayperformance over time.STRATEGY refers to an organizations desiredfuturestate,An organizationsstrategyestablishesafoundationagainstwhichitcanmonitorand measure its progress inreachingthat desired state,Strategy formulation generallyinvolves establishingthe purposeand scope ofthe organizations activities and the nature ofits businesses,taking into account the risks andopportunities it faces and the environment inwhichitoperatesTable of ContentsA.Background and Purpose8ScopeandApproachC.Forward-LookingFinancial Sector MetricsD.Metric for Consideration:Implied Temperature RiseAppendices49.9351.54#page#The TaskAppendix 4: ReferencesAviva.Aviva Climate-Related Financial Disclosure2019.2019.https:/ Paper:The2021 Biennial ExploratoryScenarioon theFinancial Risksfrom Climate Change.December 2019.https:/www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/pdfzla=en&hash=73D06B913C73472DODF21F18DB71C2F454148C80.en.pdf.Table of ContentsA.1992.http:/cadbury.qjbs.archios.info/report.Background and PurposeCDP.CDP Ful GHGEmissions Dataset2019Summary.2019,https:/6fefcbb86e61af1b2fc48original/2020_01_06_FulL_GHG_Emissions_Dataset_Summary.pdfScopeandApproachCimate Finance Leadership Initiative,Financingthelow-Carbon Future,2019.https:/assets.bbhub.io/company/sites/55/2019/09/Financing-the-Low-Carbon-Future_CFLl-Full-Report_September-2019.C.pdf.Forward-LookingFinancial Sector MetricsCNP Assurances.2018 CSR Report2018,https:/p.rlen/the-cnpassurancesgroup/newsroom/publications.D.Metric for Consideration:Implied Temperature Risecop25.mma.gob.c/wp-content/uploads/2020704/Alianza-11122019-INGLS.pdf.AppendicesFinancial Assets. NatureClimate Change676-679.2016.https:/larticles/nclimate2972relating to risk management and disclosure. May 2020. https:/www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/legalframework/publiccons/pdficlimate-related_risks/ssm.202005_draft_guide_on_climaterelated_and_environmental_risks.enpdf.2019.https:/www.gpif.go.jp/en/investment/trucost_report_enpdf.#page#Intergovernmental Panel on Climate ChangeGlobal Warming of1.5Summaryfor PoicymakersOctober 2018.https:/www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2018/07/SR15_SPM_versionstand_alone_LR.pdfIrcantec.CimateActons andESGReport2018.https:/www.ircntec.retraites.fr/sites/defaultfles/publiclactionscimat19_en2_0pdf.Jorion, Phillipe.“How Informative Are Valueat-Risk Disclosures TheAccounting Review.O OwnersAlianceUN-Convened NetZero AssetOwnerAliance. 2020.https:/www.unepti.org/net-zero-alliance/Network for Greening the Financial System.NGFS Climate Scenarios for central banks and supervisors.final_version_v6.pdf.NewClimateInstitute,Germanwatch,and2nvestingInitiative,Developing CriteritoAignTable of ContentsA.Season3.pdf.Background and P Report.2018.https:/ ExposeCompanies and Directors to Liability Risk?Commonwealth CimateForward-LookingFinancial Sector Metricsrns-Misplaced-Report-Final-BriefingpdfTask Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures CTCFD).2020 status report. November 2020.D.https:/assets.bbhub.io/company/sites/60/2020/09/2020-TCFD_Status-Report.pdfMetric for Consideration:Implied Temperature RiseTCFD.ImplementingtheRecommendationsofthe Task ForceonCimate-related Financial Disclosures.June 29,2017.https:/www.fsb-tcfd.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/FINALTCFD-AnnexAppendicesAmended-121517.pdf.World Resources Institute and World Business Council for Sustainable Development The GreenhouseGas Protocol:A Corporate Accounting and Reporting Standard (Revised Edition).March 2004.https:plepueis-aielodo/81010010jd8u#page#For moreinformation, please visit fsb-tcfd.org0alPE

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