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德国收费公路:最佳实践及未来趋势?.pdf

上传人: 科*** 编号:713415 2025-06-08 9页 710.44KB

1、RESTREINTINTERNESECRETEnergy Storage Germany 2025-StuttgartTolls in Germany:Best Practice and What Trends Can Be Expected?M+49(0)152 527 33256Martin DARONNATHead of Flexibility&Structured OriginationSupply&Energy Management-GERMANY ENGIE Supply&Energy Management(SEM):Worldclass asset optimization an

2、d risk management since decades.49 GW Thermal23 GW Wind&solar750MW Demand Side management18GW Hydro2.500 MWBatteries2 ENGIE 2024 GEMS PRESENTATIONAsset optimization&Asset backed trading Risk Management&Sales Access to 3 out of 4 TSOs in GERMANYEuropean Algo Trading Desk dedicated to BESS&Hydro#1 in

3、cPPAWorldwide,Top 3 GermanyPhysical&Virtual Flexibility offtakesStructured products(CFDs,VBS,VPS)Demand side response and Industrial Flexibility ProductsFlexibility&Structured Origination GER3 ENGIE 2022-LEADING THE ENERGY TRANSITIONWHEN YOU CLOSE THE 1stEVER LONG-TERM PHYSICAL BESS TOLL IN GERMANY4

4、BESS structured agreements are not easy and often take time to properly negotiate depending on level of complexityTHIS IS FINEHedging strategyAccounting riskCurtailment riskCredit riskTechnical risksRedispatch riskChange in Law riskCapacity marketDirect agreementTechnical annexesCOD delay risk Techn

5、ical parameters of the BESS Price level:absolute power price levels Price Volatility:dispersion around price levels Price shape:daily shape of prices Liquidity:ability to find buy/sell counterparts Ancillaries:capacity and energy prices from ancillariesBESS fair value is a function of many parameter

6、s subject to market risks and moving in time!BESS Fair Value(t)=Market risksMarket Risk downside=P95-P99 scenario=different from“Low scenario”from fundamental curves!(t)Subject to market risksSubject to market risksTolls values are a function of BESS value ove

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本文主要讨论了德国2025年储能市场的现状与趋势,特别是电池储能系统(BESS)的定价与风险。以下是关键点: 1. ENGIE公司的资产管理与风险管理部门在全球范围内处于领先地位,管理着49GW的热能、23GW的风能与太阳能、18GW的水能以及2.5GW的电池资产。 2. 在德国,ENGIE能够接触到3/4的传输系统运营商(TSOs),并在BESS与水能的欧洲算法交易中排名第一。 3. 文章强调了BESS结构化协议的复杂性,包括定价、市场风险、信用风险、合同条款等。 4. BESS的公允价值受市场风险影响,随时间变化,且其收费价值取决于BESS的价值、风险和潜在上升空间。 5. 核心数据包括:定价日期对收费价值的影响、长期合同的市场风险增加、信用风险依赖于对手方的稳健性。 6. 文章提醒注意合同条款对价格的影响,以及从风险承担者那里获取意见的重要性。 总结:文章强调了在德国储能市场中,BESS的价值和收费受到多种市场与信用风险的影响,强调了风险管理和合同谈判的重要性。
"2025年德国储能前景如何?" "BESS合同谈判的难点是什么?" "如何评估电池储能系统的公平价值?"
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