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ECDB:2026年全球电商市场风向标报告(英文版)(24页).pdf

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1、https:/ E-Commerce DevelopmentDeep Dive:RetailersDeep Dive:MarketsOutlook:Agentic Commerce2Report Agenda01020304https:/ the Report:Our CEOs Top 4 E-Commerce Predictions for 2026In our report“ECDB Global E-Commerce Compass 2026”,we present the most important e-commerce data and insights on the global

2、 e-commerce market in 2026.Four findings are particularly important this year and represent the essential takeaways you should definitely retain from this report:First,global e-commerce continues to grow structurally,while the growth mix is shifting:Global revenues exceed US$5 trillion for the first

3、 time in 2026,growing by 8.6%year-over-year.The global online share of retail reaches 25.4%,remaining a key structural growth driver.However,net growth is predominantly concentrated(China and the United States accounting for 64%of global revenues),while relative growth shifts toward emerging markets

4、.Second,competitive dynamics among retailers intensify as scale and international reach become decisive:Retailer concentration increases globally,the number of mid-sized players declines,and growth becomes more dependent on cross-border expansion.Platform-based ecosystems continue to outperform stan

5、dalone retail models.Shopify strengthens its role as a core commerce infrastructure,accounting for 6.2%of global E-Commerce revenues.Third,the ECDB Revenue Equation shows that growth is driven by buyers and buying frequency:Across markets,growth is fueled by an expanding buyer base and higher purcha

6、se frequency,while average order values and return rates remain broadly stable.However,buying frequency and average order values differ strongly between countries and categories,driven by underlying needs.Fourth,AI-driven shopping traffic is already relevant,while agentic commerce remains uncertain:

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1. **头部零售商增长领先**:全球前25%零售商增速显著高于市场平均,如北美时尚品类头部增速超平均6%(2025年)。 2. **中型零售商衰退**:GMV在1000万-1亿美元的中型零售商数量从2023年9133家降至2025年9042家,全球市场份额从16.1%降至14.0%。 3. **D2C品牌表现分化**:2025年Top 10 D2C品牌中,Nike唯一负增长(-13.1%),而部分品牌增速超20%(如Shein达22.9%)。 4. **市场集中度提升**:头部平台(GMV超1亿美元)份额持续扩大,挤压中型玩家生存空间。
**零售巨头增速?** **中商为何衰退?** **D2C品牌谁领先?**
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