拨开战争迷雾：运用系统方法捕捉和传播日益加剧的地缘政治紧张局势中的相关洞见.pdf

1、157Navigating the Fog of War:A Programmatic Approach to Capturing and Communicating Relevant Insights from Rising Geopolitical Tensions158AgendaExpectationsBackground ContextCase Study 1:Russias Invasion of UkraineCase Study 2:Iran-Hamas-IsraelCase Study 3:China-TaiwanExpectationsThis talk is design

2、ed to Teach you something new Provide CTI teams with a starting point to save finite time and energy Apply a formulaic approach to determining relevance Assist in avoiding shiny object syndrome Deconstruct the dynamics of escalating geopolitical tensions Identify impactful storytelling approaches an

3、d timing to various stakeholdersThis talk will not Likely win hearts and minds Provide a get out of jail free card for shoddy analysis Make you an expert on international relations or multi-order implications to cyber security for current events160Background ContextCTI provides timely and relevant i

4、nsights about the cyber threat landscape,cyber threat actors,their capabilities,and motivations to inform risk exposure,planning,or cyber defense actions.162Background ContextAll CTI teams have a set series of product lines they produce,ideally mapped to intel requirements.163Background ContextAdver

5、saries have priorities,tooCyber operations advance nationalistic priorities.Strategic doctrine provides a loose outline for enduring collection requirements.Shifts in geopolitical relationship or bi/multilateral engagements provide tactical measures that could shift cyber resources and prioritizatio

6、n.Deteriorating relations between countries on key topics,such as weapons usage,might prompt a tactical shift in the need to collect intelligence on targetsEx)DPRK conducts a test of a new cruise or ballistic missile over Japan unprovokedUnexpected actions that take place internationally or domestic