美银:全球基金经理调查:AI、黄金与加密货币研究-250810(英文版)(27页).pdf

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美银:全球基金经理调查:AI、黄金与加密货币研究-250810(英文版)(27页).pdf

1、 Trading ideas and investment strategies discussed herein may give rise to significant risk and are not suitable for all investors.Investors should have experience in relevant markets and the financial resources to absorb any losses arising from applying these ideas or strategies.Employed by a non-U

2、S affiliate of BofAS and is not registered/qualified as a research analyst under the FINRA rules.Refer to Other Important Disclosures for information on certain BofA Securities entities that take responsibility for the information herein in particular jurisdictions.BofA Securities does and seeks to

3、do business with issuers covered in its research reports.As a result,investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report.Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.Refer to imp

4、ortant disclosures on page 25 to 27.12864438 Global Fund Manager Survey On AI,Gold&Crypto BofA August Global Fund Manager Survey Bottom Line:not a clear and obvious inflection point in our survey but most bullish FMS since Feb25,with probability of hard landing lowest since Jan25,cash as%AUM at hist

5、orically low 3.9%,equity allocations on rise but not at extreme levels.On Macro&Policy:68%predict soft landing,22%no landing,just 5%positioned for a hard landing;expectations for global growth remain tepid net-41%;rate cut optimism highest since Dec24;asked if next Fed Chair resorts to QE/YCC to eas

6、e US debt burden,54%said yes,36%no;final US tariff rate on RoW expected to be 15%vs 14%in July).On Risks,Crowds&AI:tail risk of trade war/recession falling(29%),tail risks of inflation/no Fed cuts(27%),disorderly bond yields(20%),AI bubble(14%)rising;most crowded trade“long Magnificent 7”once again(

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