美银:百度(BIDU.US)-美股公司研究:AI搜索渗透加速拖累广告收入 云业务与Robotaxi海外拓展稳步推进-250717(英文版)(10页).pdf

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美银:百度(BIDU.US)-美股公司研究:AI搜索渗透加速拖累广告收入 云业务与Robotaxi海外拓展稳步推进-250717(英文版)(10页).pdf

1、 Employed by a non-US affiliate of BofAS and is not registered/qualified as a research analyst under the FINRA rules.Refer to Other Important Disclosures for information on certain BofA Securities entities that take responsibility for the information herein in particular jurisdictions.BofA Securitie

2、s does and seeks to do business with issuers covered in its research reports.As a result,investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report.Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment d

3、ecision.Refer to important disclosures on page 7 to 10.Analyst Certification on page 4.Price Objective Basis/Risk on page 4.12852273 B Preview:more ad pressure,cloud on track,Robotaxi going overseas Maintain Rating:BUY|PO:100.00 USD|Price:86.32 USD Weaker ad,due to acceleration of AI search penetrat

4、ion We lower Baidu Cores 2Q outlook to a 2%total revenue decline YoY(vs.-1%previously)and RMB4b(vs.RMB4.9b previously)adjusted OP.We maintain 2Q cloud revenue outlook,as we expect customer demand to remain solid.We expect the step-up pace of AI penetration%to go from 13ppt add between Feb-April 2025

5、,to high-teens ppt add between April-Jun 2025,c20s ppt between Jun-Sept 2025.At such pace,we expect AI penetration%to reach 70-80%exiting 3Q25 and then become more stable in 4Q25.Accordingly,we expect Baidus ad decline to accelerate till 3Q and narrow in 4Q.Due to the cut in the high-margin ad reven

6、ue,our profit est.is also lowered.We lower Baidus total profit by 14%for 2025E and largely maintain 26-27E profit outlook.Maintain PO of USD100.We maintain Buy rating on undemanding valuation.Baidu is trading at just 9x adj.P/E and its net cash(current+non-current)is c70%of mkt cap.We expect stock p

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