1、1 Public Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure Authorized2 Key messages Key messages Climate Change is a Climate Change is a Significant Significant Threat to Togos DevelopmentThreat to Togos Development TrajectoryTrajectory:Climate change is

2、already impacting the Togolese population,with more frequent and severe heat waves,unpredictable rainfall,and growing coastal erosion impacting livelihoods and economic activity.Impacts are projected to intensify,reaching an estimated loss in income per capita levels of up to 12 percent by 2050,with

3、 most severe welfare effects borne by poor populations in rural areas and along the coastline.Rising temperatures are expected to be a dominant driver of expected losses in welfare,followed by reduced yields for rainfed crops,slower human capital accumulation,and damages from more intense urban,coas

4、tal and inland flooding.Structural Transformation is Crucial Structural Transformation is Crucial toto Deliver More Deliver More Inclusive and Inclusive and Resilient Resilient Growth:Growth:Reaching upper-middle-income status and reducing the national poverty rate below 10 percent by 2050 would req

5、uire decisive efforts to raise Togos growth potential to at least 6 percent annually,which could prove challenging in the face of climate change.Such outcome would only be possible if job opportunities are scaled up in higher productivity activities and sectors,if human capital is strengthened and l

6、abor force participation is increased,with a focus on more vulnerable populations.This accelerated process of structural transformation could already help reduce projected climate change impacts by up to 20 percent,as a smaller share of the economy and the workforce would be directly exposed.TurnTur