1、DPRIETI Discussion Paper Series 24-E-084Macroeconomic Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Productivity:An estimate from a surveyMORIKAWA,MasayukiRIETIThe Research Institute of Economy,Trade and Industryhttps:/www.rieti.go.jp/en/1 RIETI Discussion Paper Series 24-E-084 December 2024 Macroeconomic Im

2、pact of Artificial Intelligence on Productivity:An estimate from a survey Masayuki Morikawa(RIETI)Abstract Based on a survey of Japanese workers,this study documents the characteristics of workers who use artificial intelligence(AI)in their jobs and estimates the effects of this new general-purpose

3、technology on macroeconomic productivity.The results indicate,first,8.3%of workers used AI in their jobs in 2024,which is approximately 1.5 times than in 2023.Second,more educated and high-wage workers tend to use AI,suggesting that its diffusion may increase labor market inequality.Third,the use of

4、 AI is estimated to have increased labor productivity in the macroeconomy by 0.50.6%.Fourth,nearly 30%of workers expect to use AI for their jobs in the future,suggesting that its macroeconomic effects will increase.However,the productivity effect of AI for those who recently started using it is rela

5、tively small,suggesting a diminishing productivity impact of AI.Keywords:artificial intelligence,productivity JEL Classification:D24,J24,J31,O33,O47 RIETI Discussion Papers Series aims at widely disseminating research results in the form of professional papers,thereby stimulating lively discussion.T

6、he views expressed in the papers are solely those of the author(s),and do not present those of the Research Institute of Economy,Trade and Industry.I would like to thank Seiichiro Inoue,Arata Ito,Yuki Hashimoto,Eiichi Tomiura and the seminar participants at RIETI for their valuable comments and sugg