1、ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCEAND LIFE IN 2030ONE HUNDRED YEAR STUDY ON ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE|REPORT OF THE 2015 STUDY PANEL|SEPTEMBER 2016PREFACEThe One Hundred Year Study on Artificial Intelligence,launched in the fall of 2014,is a long-term investigation of the field of Artificial Intelligence(AI)and

2、its influences on people,their communities,and society.It considers the science,engineering,and deployment of AI-enabled computing systems.As its core activity,the Standing Committee that oversees the One Hundred Year Study forms a Study Panel every five years to assess the current state of AI.The S

3、tudy Panel reviews AIs progress in the years following the immediately prior report,envisions the potential advances that lie ahead,and describes the technical and societal challenges and opportunities these advances raise,including in such arenas as ethics,economics,and the design of systems compat

4、ible with human cognition.The overarching purpose of the One Hundred Year Studys periodic expert review is to provide a collected and connected set of reflections about AI and its influences as the field advances.The studies are expected to develop syntheses and assessments that provide expert-infor

5、med guidance for directions in AI research,development,and systems design,as well as programs and policies to help ensure that these systems broadly benefit individuals and society.1 The One Hundred Year Study is modeled on an earlier effort informally known as the“AAAI Asilomar Study.”During 2008-2

6、009,the then president of the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence(AAAI),Eric Horvitz,assembled a group of AI experts from multiple institutions and areas of the field,along with scholars of cognitive science,philosophy,and law.Working in distributed subgroups,the participants