1、 1|Page 2|Page Table of Contents Acknowledgments.3 Disclaimer.3 PART I.OVERVIEW.4 I.1 Objective.4 I.2 Background and context.4 I.3 Main conclusions and recommendations.6 PART II.THE WORLD COFFEE MARKET:CURRENT SITUATION AND PROSPECTS.12 II.1 Coffee prices and volatility.12 II.2 Coffee production.13

2、II.3 Productivity.13 II.4 Coffee trade.15 II.5 Growing coffee consumption.16 II.6 Balance supply and demand.18 PART III.INVESTMENT NEEDS FOR SUSTAINABILITY AND RESILIENCE IN THE COFFEE SECTOR RATIONALE BEHIND A COFFEE FUND/VEHICLE.20 III.1 The economic rationale behind a coffee facility/fund to supp

3、ort investments on coffee farms.20 III.2 A birds eye view of the coffee market/sector.21 III.3 Size of the investment vehicle.29 III.4 What should be the objectives of an investment vehicle?.31 III.5 Preliminary estimates of the investment needs of the coffee sector.33 III.6 Conclusions:Lets set up

4、a coffee investment vehicle.36 PART IV.TOWARDS A NEW GLOBAL INVESTMENT VEHICLE FOR THE COFFEE SECTOR.39 IV.1 Actions needed to increase funding for the coffee sector.39 IV.2 Review of key initiatives to finance the coffee sector.39 IV.3 Value proposition for a coffee financial vehicle.40 IV.4 Goals.

5、41 IV.5 A blended finance structure.41 IV.6 Options and road map.42 Phase 1:Demonstration/development phase initiate grant facility.43 Phase 2:Investment vehicle.44 Phase 3:Listed HoldCo.45 PART V.CONCLUSIONS AND THE WAY FORWARD.47 BIBLIOGRAPHY.48 ANNEX I OTHER FINANCIAL SCHEMES FOR THE COFFEE SECTO

6、R.50 Annex I1.UNIDO partnership model for de-risking investments in the Ethiopian coffee sector.50 Annex I.2 International Trade Centre(ITC)approach to leverage:Opportunities to support the coffee GVC with impact investment and financing.56 Annex I.3 Programme-Alternative Response Options for Mitiga