1、Compact Cities Electrified:United StatesBRIEF FOR POLICYMAKERS2ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSLEAD AUTHORS:Lewis Fulton University of California,Davis Director,Sustainable Transportation Energy PathwaysD.Taylor Reich Institute for Transportation and Development Policy(Global)Data Science ManagerSUPPORTING AUTHORS:

2、Lindsay A.Dellechaie Institute for Transportation and Development Policy Special Assistant to the CEO Farhana Sharmin University of California,Davis Graduate Student ResearcherREVIEWERS:James Bradbury Georgetown Climate Center Mitigation Program DirectorAaron Isenstadt International Council on Clean

3、 Transportation Senior Researcher Benjamin de la Pea Shared-Use Mobility Center CEOBenito O.Prez Transportation For America Policy Director Michael Replogle Institute for Transportation and Development Policy(US)US AdviserPUBLISHED JANUARY 2024COVER PHOTO:Columbia Pike Transit Station in Arlington,V

4、irginia.SOURCE:BeyondDC via Flickr3CONTENTSCOMPACT CITIES ELECTRIFIED:UNITED STATES 1.BACKGROUND 4 2.FOUR SCENARIOS 5 3.METHODOLOGY 11 3.1.STRUCTURING THE MODEL 3.2.DEFINING SCENARIOS 3.2.1.SCENARIOS FOR ELECTRIFICATION RATES 3.2.2.SCENARIOS FOR MODE SHIFT RATES 4.SCENARIO COMPATIBILITY WITH US CLIM

5、ATE COMMITMENTS 16 4.1.US CLIMATE TARGETS 4.2.SCENARIO IMPACTS ON TRANSPORT EMISSIONS 4.3.MODE SHIFT REDUCES DEPENDENCE ON GRID DECARBONIZATION 5.SCENARIO IMPACTS ON ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION 20 6.DIRECT PUBLIC AND PRIVATE EXPENSES IN EACH SCENARIO 21 7.MEASURABLE GOALS FOR URBAN PASSENGER TRANSPORTAT

6、ION 22 7.1.GOALS FOR ELECTRIFICATION 7.2.GOALS FOR LAND USE 7.3.GOALS FOR TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE APPENDIX A:SKETCH POLICY AGENDA 24 I.ELECTRIFY TRANSPORTATION WITH POLICY,INCENTIVES,AND INFRASTRUCTURE II.REFORM LAND USE POLICY,UPDATE ZONING LAWS,INCENTIVIZE SUSTAINABLE,MIXED-USE,TRANSPORT-ORI