1、Compact Cities Electrified:ChinaEXECUTIVE SUMMARY2New research from the Institute for Transportation and Development Policy and the University of California,Davis,finds that China could feasibly reduce public-sector expenditures on urban transport at the local,state,and country levels by a cumulativ
2、e CN 30 trillion through 2050.This could be achieved by using a combination of strategies to support vehicle electrification,compact city planning,and modal shift toward walking,cycling,and public transit.Furthermore,only the combination of these strategies,not any strategy alone,will be sufficient
3、to approach the countrys commitments to reduce carbon emissions in urban passenger transport.This study investigates four possible scenarios for urban passenger transport in China:Business as Usual:Chinas current trends in city planning and vehicle sales,including relatively rapid uptake of electric
4、 vehicles(including electric passenger cars,electric buses,e-bikes).Electrification(Only):The fastest feasible replacement of internal-combustion vehicles(ICE)with electric ones.Mode Shift(Only):The fastest feasible transformation of city planning priorities in favor of compact land use and public t
5、ransport,walking,and bicycling.Electrification+Mode Shift:The combination of the previous two scenarios.The estimated requirements to achieve each scenario and the cumulative public-sector expenditure entailed are shown in Figure A.In addition to cost savings,the Electrification+Mode Shift scenario
6、would reduce electricity consumption by 411 billion kWh per year by 2050 compared to Electrification(Only).Qualitatively,this scenario would improve road safety,promote economic inclusion of marginalized groups,and reduce air pollution.Percent of newlight-dutyvehicles that areelectricCumulativelane-