ICCT：迈向零排放重卡之路美国重型车温室气体排放标准新规及其影响（22页）.pdf

1、迈向零排放重卡之路？美国重型车温室气体排放标准新规及其影响主讲人：解奕豪 ICCT 重型车项目研究员时间：2024年4月19日，周五地点：北京，中国第一期“低碳交通”知享会Knowledge Sharing近期美国重型车市场与政策进展4重型车零排放化是美国交通脱碳的重要一环大力且可行的各种策略的减排潜力2020-2050年交通全生命周期累计CO2排放量，十亿吨更先进的内燃机技术运输结构调整零排放车辆销售车队更新换代清洁电力和氢能美国2050年零温室气体排放长期策略The long-term strategy of the United States:Pathways to Net-Zero G

2、reenhouse Gas Emissions by 2050到2050年交通领域减排 80%-100%全球零排放中重型车备忘录Memorandum of Understanding on Zero-Emission Medium-and Heavy-Duty Vehicles 2030年零排放中重型车销量占30%，2040年零排放销量达到100%Source:Sen,A.,Miller,J.,Alvarez,G.H.,&Rodrigues,P.F.(2023).Vision 2050:Strategies to align global road transport with well be

3、low 2 degrees.International Council on Clean Transportation.https:/theicct.org/publication/vision-2050-strategies-to-reduce-gap-for-global-road-transport-nov23/美国零排放重型车市场发展尚在初期5美国零排放中重型车注册量大客车重型卡车中型卡车财税补贴有望刺激大量零排放重型车进入市场6补贴激励下的2023-2030年美国4-8级零排放中重型车保有量预测Source:Ragon,P.L.,Kelley,S.,Egerstrom,N.,Brit

4、o,J.,Sharpe,B.,Allcock,C.,Minjares,R.,and Rodriguez,F.(2023).Near-term infrastructure deployment to support zero-emission medium-and heavy-duty vehicles in the United States.Washington,D.C.,International Council on Clean Transportation.https:/theicct.org/publication/infrastructure-deployment-mhdv-ma

5、y23/Source:Basma,H.,Buysse,C.,Zhou,Y.,&Rodrguez,F.(2023).Total cost of ownership of alternative powertrain technologies for Class 8 long-haul trucks in the United States.International Council on Clean Transportation.https:/theicct.org/publication/tco-alt-powertrain-long-haul-trucks-us-apr23/7零排放重型车总

6、成本将优于内燃机车辆 GeoNames,Microsoft,TomTomPowered by BingCAFLGAWATXILNYTruck model year 20301.841.732.312.66TCO($/mile)New York1.781.752.372.73TCO($/mile)Georgia1.781.652.362.72TCO($/mile)Florida1.761.632.312.66TCO($/mile)Texas1.911.902.402.78TCO($/mile)California1.821.702.372.74TCO($/mile)Washington1.841