亚洲航空研究学院：东南亚超短途航空旅行的未来白皮书（英文版）（62页）.pdf

1、 WHITE PAPER The Future of Super Short-Haul Air Travel in Southeast Asia Author:Commissioned By:Publication Date:Brendan Sobie,Sobie Aviation Pte.Ltd.Asst.Prof.Nuno Ribeiro and Jamie Bloomfield,Aviation Studies Institute January 2024 The Future of Super Short-Haul Air Travel in Southeast Asia 2 CONT

2、ENTSCONTENTS FOREWORD.5 ABOUT THE AUTHOR.7 INTRODUCTION.8 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.9 RECOMMENDATIONS.13 INTERNATIONAL SUPER SHORT-HAUL MARKET.14 OVERVIEW OF ROUTES AND KUALA LUMPUR-SINGAPORE CASE STUDY.14 POTENTIAL IMPACT OF HIGH-SPEED RAIL.16 RECOVERY AND UN-RESUMED ROUTES.17 REGULATORY CHALLENGES IN INDO

3、NESIA.19 NEW ROUTE OPPORTUNITIES IN INDONESIA(WITH MALAYSIA AND SINGAPORE).21 OTHER NEW ROUTE OPPORTUNITIES IN THE REGION.23 AIRCRAFT FLEET CHALLENGES(INTERNATIONAL MARKET).26 TURBOPROP OPERATION TO SHRINK FURTHER DRIVEN BY MALAYSIA POLICY CHANGE.29 OPPORTUNITIES TO BUILD CONNECTIVITY WITH NEW TECHN

4、OLOGIES.29 DOMESTIC SUPER SHORT-HAUL MARKETS.31 OVERVIEW OF ROUTES.31 PHILIPPINES.32 INDONESIA.34 MALAYSIA.35 INDOCHINA(CAMBODIA,LAOS,MYANMAR,THAILAND AND VIETNAM).36 RECOVERY AND UN-RESUMED ROUTES.38 AIRCRAFT FLEET CHALLENGES (DOMESTIC MARKET).39 IMPLICATIONS OF FURTHER REDUCTIONS IN THE TURBOPROP

5、FLEET.41 ZERO EMISSION AIRCRAFT AND PROPULSION OPTIONS.44 OVERVIEW OF AIRLINE COMMITMENTS GLOBALLY.44 COMMITMENTS IN AUSTRALASIA.45 COMMITMENTS IN EUROPE.47 COMMITMENTS IN NORTH AMERICA.49 RAMIFICATIONS FOR SOUTHEAST ASIA.51 APPENDIX.53 INTERNATIONAL SUPER SHORT-HAUL:OVERVIEW OF COUNTRIES.53 INTERNA

6、TIONAL SUPER SHORT-HAUL:OVERVIEW OF HUBS.53 INTERNATIONAL SUPER SHORT-HAUL:OVERVIEW OF AIRLINES.54 The Future of Super Short-Haul Air Travel in Southeast Asia 3 DOMESTIC SUPER SHORT-HAUL:OVERVIEW OF COUNTRIES AND HUBS.56 DOMESTIC SUPER SHORT-HAUL:OVERVIEW OF AIRLINES.57 REFERENCES.60 The Future of S