麦肯锡:2025生育率下降与长寿时代双轮驱动下的人口结构范式迁移:面对人口新现实的影响研究报告(英文版)(82页).pdf

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麦肯锡:2025生育率下降与长寿时代双轮驱动下的人口结构范式迁移:面对人口新现实的影响研究报告(英文版)(82页).pdf

1、Confidential and proprietary.Any use of this material without specific permission of McKinsey&Company is strictly prohibited.January 2025Authors Anu MadgavkarMarc Canal NoguerChris BradleyOlivia WhiteSven SmitTJ RadiganEditorStephanie StromData visualizationJuan M.VelascoDependency and depopulation?

2、Confronting the consequences of a new demographic realityCopyright 2024 McKinsey&Company.All rights reserved.Cover image:A silhouetted child soars through the air on a swing set.The setting sun casts a warm glow on the scene,creating a quiet and nostalgic atmosphere.SchulteProductions/Getty ImagesCo

3、nfidential and proprietary.Any use of this material without specific permission of McKinsey&Company is strictly prohibited.McKinsey Global InstituteThe McKinsey Global Institute was established in 1990.Our mission is to provide a fact base to aid decision making on the economic and business issues m

4、ost critical to the worlds companies and policy leaders.We benefit from the full range of McKinseys regional,sectoral,and functional knowledge,skills,and expertise,but editorial direction and decisions are solely the responsibility of MGI directors and partners.Our research is currently grouped into

5、 five major themes:Productivity and prosperity:Creating and harnessing the worlds assets most productively Resources of the world:Building,powering,and feeding the world sustainably Human potential:Maximizing and achieving the potential of human talent Global connections:Exploring how flows of goods

6、,services,people,capital,and ideas shapeeconomies Technologies and markets of the future:Discussing the next big arenas of value and competitionWe aim for independent and fact-based research.None of our work is commissioned or funded by any business,government,or other institution;we share our resul

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