公共公园游憩模式的创新研究.pdf

1、Innovative Modeling of Recreation Visits to Public Parklands Session C2:Big Data for Travel AnalysisPresented by:Mark BradleyJune 5,2023Innovative Modeling of Recreation Trips to Public ParklandsPresentation TopicsGLACIER NATIONAL PARKMONTANA2Project Motivation3 Project Challenges4Model Data5-6Model

2、s Described7-13Model Application14Reflections 15Project MotivationIn some areas of the United States,visits to national,state,and regional parklands generate a great deal of local traffic and vehicle miles traveled(VMT).While some regional and statewide travel forecasting models include a“recreation

3、”purpose,travel for outdoor recreation to and in major parklands has unique characteristics that are not included in existing models.This project provides a new model framework and initial models for potential use by state and regional planning agencies(as well as park planning agencies).Project Cha

4、llengesDifferent Variable NeedsThe type of variables in recreational travel models are different from traditional long-distance models.The variables are about the type of land characteristics:elevation,climate,coastal(or not),and park-specific attributes.Key ChallengesThe types of people attracted d

5、iffer from urban recreation tripsa range of incomes due to the ability to camp,and a range of group types(e.g.,families,retired,digital nomads)A range of trip typesday trips or overnight trips from nearby residents,and longer vacation trips from across the country(and beyond)Creating a generic/gener

6、alized model that can be applied to any major parkland destination in the country4Project Modeling:Data SourcesSome data exist in the form of visitor surveys and counts,but no single source of data exists that is comprehensive and consistent across various types of outdoor destinations.Passively col