国际清洁运输理事会(ICCT)：2024德国在用车脱碳策略实施研究报告（英文版）（30页）.pdf

1、OCTOBER 2024Cleaning up Germanys vehicle stockStrategies to decarbonize the passenger car fleetKYLE MORRISON,JOSHUA MILLER,PATRICIA FERRINI RODRIGUES,EAMONN MULHOLLAND,YUANRONG ZHOU,CHELSEA BALDINO,AND JONATHAN BENOITACKNOWLEDGMENTSThe authors thank Georg Bieker,Jan Dornoff,Jayant Mukhopadhaya,Nikit

2、a Pavlenko,Peter Mock,and Sandra Wappelhorst of the International Council on Clean Transportation for their critical review.Funding of this work was generously provided by the European Climate Foundation.International Council on Clean Transportation EuropeFasanenstrasse 85,10623 Berlin,Germanycommun

3、icationstheicct.org|www.theicct.org|TheICCT 2024 International Council on Clean Transportation(ID 42)iICCT REPORT|CLEANING UP GERMANYS VEHICLE STOCK:STRATEGIES TO DECARBONIZE THE PASSENGER CAR FLEETEXECUTIVE SUMMARYThe European Union has adopted CO2 standards requiring 100%of new passenger car regis

4、trations to be zero-emission vehicles by 2035.Under these standards,we project tank-to-wheel greenhouse gas emissions(GHG)of the total passenger car fleet will decline to 13%below 2022 levels in 2030,66%below 2022 levels in 2040,and 92%below in 2050.However,these standards alone are insufficient to

5、align passenger car GHG emissions with the European Unions 2030 economy-wide reduction target of 55%from 1990 levels,and with Germanys 2030 transport-wide target of 85 Mt of CO2-equivalent(CO2e),without requiring disproportionate reductions in other sectors.1This report highlights strategies to redu

6、ce GHG emissions from the vehicle stock and is targeted toward the German federal government.The paper analyzes the extent to which a hypothetical vehicle scrappage program could accelerate GHG emission reductions from the 49 million passenger cars on the road in Germany,the largest passenger car st