Peter-靠谱的估算让你更有底气.pdf

1、Peter B.StevensEstimates your can trust 2020 Peter Stevens 2020 Peter Stevens 2020 Peter StevensContent warningMay contain inconvenienttruths.Managerial Discretion advised 2020 Peter StevensWhy is it hard to make a good estimate?As a developer,project manager,or executive stakeholder who wanted to d

2、eliberately make project estimates wrong,what actions(or inactions)could you take?As a team,create a flip chart with your ideas.Write in Chinese if you want but be ready to share in English5:00 2020 Peter StevensWhat could you do(to make estimates wrong)?2020 Peter StevensProject ManagersIgnore Team

3、 CapacityAssume Ideal ConditionsDisregard Communication needsOmit BuffersDeveloperOver-commitUnder-estimateNeglect TestingAllow Vague Require-mentsToo cautiousStakeholders ExecutivesArbitrary DeadlinesPremature CommitmentsUnclear,changing PrioritiesLate FeedbackWhat could you do(to make estimates wr

4、ong)?2020 Peter StevensProject ManagersIgnore Team CapacityAssume Ideal ConditionsDisregard Communication needsOmit BuffersDeveloperOver-commitUnder-estimateNeglect TestingAllow Vague Require-mentsToo cautiousStakeholders ExecutivesArbitrary DeadlinesPremature CommitmentsUnclear,changing PrioritiesL

5、ate FeedbackWhat about Multitasking and Dependencies?How many of these things are you doing unintendedly?Discuss 3:00 2020 Peter StevensStop doing these things!2020 Peter StevensWhats wrong with estimates?Story points are breakable.Story points are poorly understood.Teams dont have conditions that m

6、ake effective work possible.2020 Peter StevensComplicated vs.Complex ProductsClarity possible complicatedClassical Project ManagementUnknowns dominate complexAgile Product Development 2020 Peter Stevens 2020 Peter StevensPhoto courtesy Joe Justice 2020 Peter StevensPhoto courtesy Joe Justice 2020 Pe