1、Chief Economists OutlookCentre for the New Economy and SocietyMay 20242Chief Economists OutlookDisclaimer This document is published by the World Economic Forum as a contribution to a project,insight area or interaction.The findings,interpretations and conclusions expressed herein are a result of a

2、collaborative process facilitated and endorsed by the World Economic Forum but whose results do not necessarily represent the views of the World Economic Forum,nor the entirety of its Members,Partners or other stakeholders.2024 World Economic Forum.All rights reserved.No part of this publication may

3、 be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means,including photocopying and recording,or by any information storage and retrieval system.3Chief Economists OutlookChief Economists OutlookMay 2024This quarterly briefing builds on the latest policy development research as well as consultations

4、 and surveys with leading chief economists from both the public and private sectors,organized by the World Economic Forums Centre for the New Economy and Society.It aims to summarize the emerging contours of the current economic environment and identify priorities for further action by policy-makers

5、 and business leaders in response to the compounding shocks to the global economy from geoeconomic and geopolitical events.The survey featured in this briefing was conducted in April 2024.4Chief Economists OutlookContentsExecutive summary _ 51.A mood of cautious optimism _ 7Growth is weak,but buildi

6、ng _ 7Inflation is elevated,but easing _ 102.A challenging global landscape _ 13Complexity is becoming a feature of the global economy _ 13Businesses navigate growing headwinds _ 14Policy-makers calibrate their responses _ 163.Long-term prospects _ 19The outlook for growth _ 19Policy priorities _ 22