1、Economic and Financial AffairsWinter 2024ISSN 2443-8014(online)European Economic ForecastINSTITUTIONAL PAPER 268|FEBRUARY 2024EUROPEAN ECONOMYEuropean Economy Institutional Papers are important reports analysing the economic situation and economic developments prepared by the European Commissions Di

2、rectorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs,which serve to underpin economic policy-making by the European Commission,the Council of the European Union and the European Parliament.DISCLAIMER The views expressed in unofficial documents do not necessarily represent the views of the European C

3、ommission.LEGAL NOTICE Neither the European Commission nor any person acting on behalf of the European Commission is responsible for the use that might be made of the information contained in this publication.This paper exists in English only and can be downloaded from https:/economy-finance.ec.euro

4、pa.eu/ecfin-publications_en.Luxembourg:Publications Office of the European Union,2024 PDF ISBN 978-92-68-04243-4 ISSN 2443-8014 doi:10.2765/01964 KC-BC-23-075-EN-N European Union,2024 Reuse is authorised provided the source is acknowledged.The reuse policy of European Commission documents is regulat

5、ed by Decision 2011/833/EU(OJ L 330,14.12.2011,p.39).For any use or reproduction of material that is not under the EU copyright,permission must be sought directly from the copyright holders.CREDIT Cover photography:iS European Commission Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs Europea

6、n Economic Forecast Winter 2024(Interim)EUROPEAN ECONOMY Institutional Paper 268 CONTENTS iii A delayed rebound in growth amid faster easing of inflation 1 1.Euro area and EU outlook 2 1.1.Setting the scene 2 1.2.The global economy:recent developments and outlook 3 1.3.Financial markets 9 1.4.Recent