Info-Tech:2024年技术趋势报告(英文版)(85页).pdf

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Info-Tech:2024年技术趋势报告(英文版)(85页).pdf

1、Tech Trends 2024|1Info-Tech Research GroupINFOTECH.COM2|Tech Trends 2024WHAT MOORES LAW CAN TEACH US ABOUT OUR RELATIONSHIP WITH AI When Gordon Moore made a prediction in a 1965 paper,he couldnt have fathomed that it would become the most famous law of computing.Moores law originally stated that com

2、puter processing power would double every two years and that this trend would last for at least 10 years(Moore,1965).Afterward,he was proven correct as integrated circuits became more efficient and less expensive at an exponential rate.The trend lasted beyond Moores predicted 10-year span,holding tr

3、ue for decades.In March 2023,Moore died.Whether Moores law outlives him or not is a matter of debate.Some say we are nearing the physical limits of the number of transistors that can be packed into a silicon wafer.But whether or not the concept still applies to chips is not as important as the broad

4、er lesson learned about the feedback loop created between humanity and technology.Its one of exponential advancement,and its why Moores law is now commonly used to describe many different advances in computing beyond processing power.Once made,Moores prediction turned into a goal one that chip desig

5、ners strove for as their North Star of progress.Designers used high-performance computing(HPC)to augment their designs,solving mathematical and engineering problems required to more densely pack transistors together.Hence,the demand for HPC increased.This supported the design of devices that preserv

6、ed Moores law,leading to even more powerful HPCs,and so on(HPCWire,2016).This feedback loop eventually produced todays nanometer-scale chips that power our smartphones and wearables.A relationship that produces benefits for both parties involved can be described as symbiotic.Chip designers formed a

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