1、Chief Economists OutlookCentre for the New Economy and SocietyJanuary 20242Chief Economists OutlookDisclaimer This document is published by the World Economic Forum as a contribution to a project,insight area or interaction.The findings,interpretations and conclusions expressed herein are a result o

2、f a collaborative process facilitated and endorsed by the World Economic Forum but whose results do not necessarily represent the views of the World Economic Forum,nor the entirety of its Members,Partners or other stakeholders.2024 World Economic Forum.All rights reserved.No part of this publication

3、 may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means,including photocopying and recording,or by any information storage and retrieval system.3Chief Economists OutlookChief Economists OutlookJanuary 2024This quarterly briefing builds on the latest policy development research as well as consu

4、ltations and surveys with leading chief economists from both the public and private sectors,organized by the World Economic Forums Centre for the New Economy and Society.It aims to summarize the emerging contours of the current economic environment and identify priorities for further action by polic

5、y-makers and business leaders in response to the compounding shocks to the global economy from geoeconomic and geopolitical events.The survey featured in this briefing was conducted in November-December 2023.4Chief Economists OutlookContentsExecutive summary _ 51.Global conditions remain subdued _ 7

6、Growth momentum is slowing across regions _ 7Tightening cycle may be nearing the end _ 102.Geopolitical rifts compound uncertainty _ 12Fragmentation clouds the outlook _ 12Governments continue to turn inward _ 153.Artificial intelligence takes the spotlight _ 18 AI may expand the productivity fronti