1、 December 2021 AI and the Future of Disinformation Campaigns Part 2:A Threat Model CSET Policy Brief AUTHORS Katerina Sedova Christine McNeill Aurora Johnson Aditi Joshi Ido Wulkan Center for Security and Emerging Technology|1 Executive Summary The age of information enabled the age of disinformatio

2、n.Powered by the speed and volume of the internet,disinformation has emerged as an instrument of strategic competition and domestic political warfare.It is used by both state and non-state actors to shape public opinion,sow chaos,and erode societal trust.Artificial intelligence(AI),specifically mach

3、ine learning(ML),is poised to amplify disinformation campaignsinfluence operations that involve covert efforts to intentionally spread false or misleading information.1 In this series,we offer a systematic examination of how AI/ML technologies could enhance these operations.Part 1 of the series desc

4、ribed the stages and common techniques of disinformation campaigns.2 In this paper,we examine how AI/ML technologies can enhance specific disinformation techniques and how these technologies may exacerbate current trends and shape future campaigns.Our findings show that the use of AI in disinformati

5、on campaigns is not only plausible but already underway.Powered by computing,ML algorithms excel at harnessing data and finding patterns that are difficult for humans to observe.The data-rich environment of modern online existence creates a terrain ideally suited for ML techniques to precisely targe

6、t individuals.Language generation capabilities and the tools that enable deepfakes are already capable of manufacturing viral disinformation at scale and empowering digital impersonation.The same technologies,paired with human operators,may soon enable social bots to mimic human online behavior and