1、World Tourism Cities Federation Report on World Tourism Economy Trends（2023）Report on World Tourism Economy Trends(2023)(Simplified Version)World Tourism Cities Federation Tourism Research Center,Chinese Academy of Social SciencesI.Development Environment:The Global Economic Growth is Slowing down67

2、World Tourism Cities Federation Report on World Tourism Economy Trends（2023）(2)Global economy facing strong headwindsLower forecasts of global economic growth In October 2022,the International Monetary Fund(IMF)predicted in the World Economic Outlook that global economic growth would decrease from 6

3、.0%in 2021 to 3.2%in 2022 and 2.7%in 2023.There is a possibility of 25%that it would fall below 2%.According to the Trade and Development Report 2022 issued by the UNCTAD,global economic growth was expected to further slow from 2.5%in 2022 to 2.2%in 1.Growing complexities of the international situat

4、ion(1)Growing complexities of the international situationThe repetitive of the COVID-19 pandemic across the globe Although many countries and regions have adopted relevant prevention and control measures,most of them still have to tackle the resurging of the pandemic on a regional scale.Negative eff

5、ects of the Russia-Ukraine conflict The conflict not only led to a dramatic slowdown or even contraction in regional economic growth,but also caused serious negative spillover effects on the global economy.Figure 1.1 A Global Picture of the COVID-19 pandemic Data Source:Hopeskin University,USA https

6、:/coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html3.Downward trends of the five regions(1)Lower forecasts of global economic growthAccording to the Regional Economic Outlook released by the International Monetary Fund(IMF)in October 2022,the economic growth rate of the Europe was projected to further decline to 2.6%and