1、A clean energy future for AustraliaEnergy Vision2Energy Vision|ForewordExecutive summaryDrivers of changeFuture energy scenariosDecarbonisation,jobs&costsKey trendsOur VisionPower system implicationsAppendixContentsForeword 3Executive summary 4About Transgrid 8Drivers of change 9Six forces shaping t

2、he future of Australias energy system 10Technological advancement 11The decarbonisation imperative 12Future energy scenarios 14Scenario comparisons 15Key trends 17Unstoppable transition to renewables 18Early coal retirement is increasingly likely 19Rise of the prosumer 20Surging demand for electrici

3、ty 23Decarbonisation,jobs&costs 24Decarbonisation 25Electricity sector jobs 26Electricity prices 29Our vision 33Which scenarios provide clear long-term benefits for Australians?35Deep decarbonisation 36Clean energy superpower 41Power system implications 45A changing generation mix 46Varying storage

4、depths 48Exponential demand for storage 47The role of dispatchable generation 50Geographically dispersed energy generation 51An expanded transmission backbone 59An increasingly variable energy system 61The importance of highly coordinated distributed resources 62The changing patterns of maximum dema

5、nd 63Declining minimum demands 64Maintaining system security 65Appendix 671.1 Our partners 681.2 Summary of assumptions 691.3 Generation capacity 701.4 Renewable energy zone utilisation 71References 723Energy Vision|Executive summaryDrivers of changeFuture energy scenariosDecarbonisation,jobs&costsK

6、ey trendsOur VisionPower system implicationsAppendixForewordForewordTransgrid is working with a broad range of stakeholders to plan for this future energy landscape,including State and Federal Governments,the Australian Energy Market Operator(AEMO)and transmission and distribution network service pr