美国农业部（USDA）：2026澳大利亚棉花及其制品市场年度报告（英文版）（17页）.pdf

1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:March 31,2026 Report Number:AS2026-0006 Report Name:Cotton and Products Annual Country:Australia Post:

2、Canberra Report Category:Cotton and Products Prepared By:Zeljko Biki Approved By:Lazaro Sandoval Report Highlights:Australias cotton production for marketing year(MY)2026/27 is forecast to increase modestly to 4.9 million bales,up from an estimated 4.65 million bales in MY 2025/26.This is partly dri

3、ven by the prospect of improved irrigation water availability in northern production regions which is partially offset by reduced water availability in southern areas.Below-average global cotton prices,a strengthening Australian dollar,and the risk of rising input costs are expected to constrain mor

4、e substantial production growth.Exports in MY 2026/27 are forecast to decline to 4.7 million bales,down 23 percent from an estimated 6.1 million bales in MY 2025/26,which was the third-highest export level on record.The decline largely reflects trade timing dynamics rather than a sharp contraction i

5、n underlying production.EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Australias cotton production in marketing year(MY)2026/27 is forecast at 4.9 million bales,representing a modest five percent recovery from MY 2025/26,though remaining below recent peak levels.The increase is primarily supported by the prospect of improved i

6、rrigation water availability in northern New South Wales and Queensland.However,this is partially offset by declining irrigation water levels in southern production regions,where below-average rainfall and reduced inflows into irrigation schemes are expected to constrain planting.Planted area is for