1、United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service FreshApples,Grapes,andPears:WorldMarketsandTradeApproved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA For email subscription,click here to register:https:/ December 2022 FRESHAPPLESWorldproductionfor2022/23isforecastdown3.9millionm

2、etrictons(tons)to78.8millionasaweatheraffectedcropinChinamorethanoffsetsgainsintheEuropeanUnionandTurkey.Exportsareprojecteddown300,000tonsto6.3milliononlowersuppliesinChinaandSouthAfrica.Chinaproductionisforecastdown5.0milliontonsto41.0millionashightemperaturesduringbloomreducedfruitsetinthetopprod

3、ucingprovincesofShaanxiandShandong.Acreageisalsocontractingaslowmarketreturnsandgovernmentencouragementofgrainproductionpromptssomefarmerstocutdowntrees.Somegrowersarereplacingoldertreeswithnewvarieties,butoutputfromthesenewplantingsisnotyetsufficienttooffsetdeclinesstemmingfromtreeremovals.Exportsa

4、reexpectedtodrop20percentto800,000tonsasreducedsuppliesshrinkshipmentstoseveralkeymarkets,especiallyIndonesiaandBangladesh.Importsareprojectedup25,000tonsto100,000ongreatershipmentsfromNewZealand.EUproductionisforecastup500,000tonsto12.8millionasFranceandItalyreboundfromlastyearsfrostdamageandleadin

5、gproducerPolandcontinuestoboostoutput.Greatersuppliesareanticipatedtoliftexports100,000tonsto1.3millionandraiseconsumptionnearly400,000tonsto11.8million.Risingcoldstoragecostsareexpectedtodivertalargeramountoflowervaluefruittoprocessingratherthanholdingforexports.Importsareprojecteddown11,000tonsto3

6、20,000asgreaterdomesticsuppliesdampenimportdemand.U.S.productionisexpectedtorise158,000tonsto4.5million,aslightreversalafterbacktobackannualdeclines,asabumpercropinMichiganmorethanoffsetslossesinWashingtonfromawet,windy,andcoldspring.USDAsNationalAgriculturalStatisticsService(NASS)surveyedindustryan