麦肯锡：2024全球能源展望报告（中译版）（41页）.pdf

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1、Global Energy Perspective 2024September 2024About this reportThe Global Energy Perspective is produced by Energy Solutions,part of McKinseys Global Energy&Materials Practice,in close collaboration with McKinseys Sustainability and Advanced Industries practices.McKinsey is committed to our position t

2、hat the world requires a major course correction to reach climate goals aligned with the Paris Agreement,and our research is focused on helping global stakeholders meet those targets.The Global Energy Perspective 2024 offers a detailed demand outlook for 68 sectors and 78 fuels across a 1.5 pathway,

3、as set out in the Paris Agreement,as well as three bottom-up energy transition scenarios.The scenarios have been redesigned this year to better reflect changing global conditions,including geopolitical challenges,increasingly complex supply chains,and higher inflation.Together,they explore potential

4、 outcomes,ranging from a sustainable transformationa plausible scenario where sustainability becomes a global priority and nations coordinate toward decarbonization,despite the challengesthrough a continuation of the current energy transition momentum,to a slower evolution characterized by a fragmen

5、ted response to decarbonization.Data for these scenarios come from a variety of sources,including the International Energy Agency(IEA),the Energy Institute,Eurostat,the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC),Oxford Economics,the United Nations,the US Department of Agriculture(USDA),and the

6、US Energy Information Administration,among others.This broad range of scenarios is intended to show the implications of different pathways and to provide a fact base to inform decision makers.However,these scenarios are not exhaustive in the realm of all possible outcomes,nor will any individual sce